How the numbers are built and what the stats mean.
Tournament projections blend team efficiency, opponent-adjusted performance, form, pace, matchup context, and market reference data. The goal is not to predict every outcome perfectly; it is to surface where our projection differs from the market in a way worth reviewing.
Edge is the gap between our projection and the current market number. Larger gaps deserve more attention, but every edge still needs context. Small gaps should be treated as low-priority; large gaps should be reviewed alongside injuries, line movement, and market liquidity.
Pages are refreshed from the latest available site data. When a market or projection changes, the page copy should reflect the refresh timestamp so users can judge how current the information is before acting on it.
Nothing But Bet is an informational tool. It is meant to help users compare projections, prices, and context quickly. It is not financial advice, and it should not replace bankroll discipline, injury news review, or local compliance checks.