Skip to content
NBBNothing But BetWNBA projections
World CupWCWNBAWNBAPropsPROPResultsRESMACMACMLBMLB
WCWNBAPROPRESMACMLB
NOTHING BUT BET
Live results/Projections/Scenarios/TV schedule
© 2026 Nothing But Bet
← All matchups
June 28, 2026

Portland Fire @ Washington Mystics

Proj total 165.8Spread WSH -0.4

Portland Fire (POR)

Bridget Carleton28.513.03.21.82.430.6Blended · 14 games—
Sarah Ashlee Barker27.311.75.02.91.752.3Blended · 14 games—
Carla Leite24.014.11.95.10.644.0Blended · 13 games—
Megan Gustafson24.013.14.50.61.132.2Blended · 14 games—
Emily Engstler24.09.14.91.11.222.2Blended · 14 games—
Luisa Geiselsoder12.43.32.00.90.460.2Blended · 15 games—
Teja Oblak11.75.21.23.20.740.0Blended · 8 games—
Karlie Samuelson10.42.51.00.80.340.0Blended · 7 games—
Nyadiew Puoch10.22.20.90.50.250.5Blended · 15 games—
Frieda Buhner10.13.21.00.20.261.3Blended · 12 games—
Serah Williams8.72.82.30.40.052.3Blended · 11 games—
Holly Winterburn8.72.51.01.70.001.2Blended · 7 games—

Washington Mystics (WSH)

Sonia Citron34.316.83.03.61.273.6Blended · 10 games—
Shakira Austin28.915.98.42.90.384.8Blended · 10 games—
Georgia Amoore24.66.81.33.61.401.9Blended · 11 games—
Kiki Iriafen24.014.28.21.50.553.6Blended · 11 games—
Cotie McMahon24.08.02.82.00.673.3Blended · 9 games—
Michaela Onyenwere13.75.01.50.90.641.0Blended · 6 games—
Alicia Florez10.32.61.01.50.111.12026-only—
Lauren Betts8.43.51.60.30.001.1Blended · 11 games—
Cassandre Prosper8.31.80.80.30.120.2Blended · 11 games—
Angela Dugalic8.23.22.60.60.250.6Blended · 11 games—
Darianna Littlepage-Buggs8.02.91.10.60.570.02026-only—
Lucy Olsen4.92.00.50.90.170.6Blended · 6 games—
Rori Harmon2.40.40.20.40.030.2Blended · 8 games—
Game writeup

WSH by 0.4 in a 165.8 total

Sonia Citron is the first player-prop checkpoint, while the defense profile points to the strongest shot-zone funnels below.

Matchup levers

  • POR gives up right-corner 3s + left-corner 3s. Portland Fire shows positive make z-scores in right-corner 3s (+1.68), left-corner 3s (+0.80). Prioritize opposing players whose projections are already strong in those markets.
  • WSH gives up mid-range makes + above-break 3s. Washington Mystics shows positive make z-scores in mid-range makes (+1.08), above-break 3s (+0.96). Prioritize opposing players whose projections are already strong in those markets.
  • WSH suppresses rim makes. Washington Mystics is a negative matchup for rim makes (-1.56). Treat overs attached to that channel as price-sensitive.

Game script

  • Total posture. The projection lands at 165.8, so this is more about player-specific funnels than a blind game-total over.
  • Side posture. WSH grades as the model side by 0.4. Team totals: POR 82.7 and WSH 83.1.

Watch list

  • Refresh ESPN injury status before tip.
  • Compare player lines against the projection, not against season averages alone.
  • Downgrade rookies and traded players when the minutes projection is not confirmed by the starting lineup.

Caveats

  • Early-season samples are tiny; role assumptions matter as much as matchup math.
  • Defense profiles still include expansion priors and should be refit after each team has a larger 2026 sample.
  • These are directional model reads, not calibrated betting recommendations.
Inactives (1)

POR

  • Jordan Harrison

WSH

None reported.

Methodology / caveats

Generated from the weekly projection payload: blended baselines, 2026 form, injuries, and zone-defense profiles. Compare every lean to live market lines before treating it as actionable.