Skip to content
NBBNothing But BetWNBA projections
World CupWCWNBAWNBAPropsPROPResultsRESMACMACMLBMLB
WCWNBAPROPRESMACMLB
NOTHING BUT BET
Live results/Projections/Scenarios/TV schedule
© 2026 Nothing But Bet
← All matchups
June 26, 2026

Washington Mystics @ Connecticut Sun

Proj total 165.7Spread WSH -5.9

Washington Mystics (WSH)

Sonia Citron34.317.23.03.61.295.3Blended · 10 games—
Shakira Austin28.916.48.42.90.397.1Blended · 10 games—
Georgia Amoore24.67.01.33.61.382.7Blended · 11 games—
Kiki Iriafen24.014.88.21.50.555.2Blended · 11 games—
Cotie McMahon24.08.52.82.00.724.9Blended · 9 games—
Michaela Onyenwere13.75.01.50.90.641.4Blended · 6 games—
Alicia Florez10.32.61.01.50.111.12026-only—
Lauren Betts8.43.71.60.30.001.7Blended · 11 games—
Cassandre Prosper8.31.80.80.30.120.3Blended · 11 games—
Angela Dugalic8.23.42.60.60.260.9Blended · 11 games—
Darianna Littlepage-Buggs8.02.91.10.60.570.02026-only—
Lucy Olsen4.92.10.50.90.171.0Blended · 6 games—
Rori Harmon2.40.40.20.40.030.3Blended · 8 games—

Connecticut Sun (CON)

Saniya Rivers29.78.62.84.40.451.7Blended · 15 games—
Leila Lacan29.211.21.25.01.242.0Blended · 5 games—
Aneesah Morrow28.814.212.31.51.403.8Blended · 13 games—
Aaliyah Edwards25.513.34.80.80.124.5Blended · 8 games—
Diamond Miller25.510.52.91.31.074.6Blended · 15 games—
Brittney Griner11.46.12.31.00.101.3Blended · 7 games—
Olivia Nelson-Ododa11.44.42.81.20.001.7Blended · 11 games—
Kennedy Burke11.43.31.81.00.420.8Blended · 14 games—
Charlisse Leger-Walker6.92.10.50.80.240.6Blended · 15 games—
Nell Angloma6.32.40.80.20.061.1Blended · 11 games—
Ashlon Jackson5.31.10.60.50.250.3Blended · 5 games—
Raegan Beers4.91.51.40.40.060.6Blended · 13 games—
Gianna Kneepkens3.71.20.50.30.100.2Blended · 15 games—
Game writeup

WSH by 5.9 in a 165.7 total

Sonia Citron is the first player-prop checkpoint, while the defense profile points to the strongest shot-zone funnels below.

Matchup levers

  • WSH gives up mid-range makes + above-break 3s. Washington Mystics shows positive make z-scores in mid-range makes (+1.08), above-break 3s (+0.96). Prioritize opposing players whose projections are already strong in those markets.
  • WSH suppresses rim makes. Washington Mystics is a negative matchup for rim makes (-1.56). Treat overs attached to that channel as price-sensitive.
  • CON gives up free-throw volume + above-break 3s. Connecticut Sun shows positive make z-scores in free-throw volume (+1.56), above-break 3s (+0.86). Prioritize opposing players whose projections are already strong in those markets.
  • CON suppresses pick-and-roll makes. Connecticut Sun is a negative matchup for pick-and-roll makes (-0.87). Treat overs attached to that channel as price-sensitive.

Game script

  • Total posture. The projection lands at 165.7, so this is more about player-specific funnels than a blind game-total over.
  • Side posture. WSH grades as the model side by 5.9. Team totals: WSH 85.8 and CON 79.9.

Watch list

  • Refresh ESPN injury status before tip.
  • Compare player lines against the projection, not against season averages alone.
  • Downgrade rookies and traded players when the minutes projection is not confirmed by the starting lineup.

Caveats

  • Early-season samples are tiny; role assumptions matter as much as matchup math.
  • Defense profiles still include expansion priors and should be refit after each team has a larger 2026 sample.
  • These are directional model reads, not calibrated betting recommendations.
Inactives (1)

WSH

None reported.

CON

  • Hailey Van Lith
Methodology / caveats

Generated from the weekly projection payload: blended baselines, 2026 form, injuries, and zone-defense profiles. Compare every lean to live market lines before treating it as actionable.