Skip to content
NBBNothing But BetWNBA projections
World CupWCWNBAWNBAPropsPROPResultsRESMACMACMLBMLB
WCWNBAPROPRESMACMLB
NOTHING BUT BET
Live results/Projections/Scenarios/TV schedule
© 2026 Nothing But Bet
← All matchups
June 22, 2026

Toronto Tempo @ Atlanta Dream

Proj total 158.8Spread ATL -27.6

Toronto Tempo (TOR)

Laura Juskaite33.111.66.11.91.301.9Blended · 13 gamesREB O 3.5
Julie Allemand32.15.34.14.20.570.4Blended · 8 games—
Marina Mabrey31.819.04.14.12.901.6Blended · 12 games—
Temi Fagbenle25.22.76.52.40.000.6Blended · 2 games—
Maria Conde19.95.23.71.01.110.3Blended · 12 gamesPTS U 10.5
Isabelle Harrison14.89.34.42.00.984.42026-only—
Teonni Key14.52.93.40.50.260.8Blended · 13 games—
Kia Nurse14.44.91.50.50.820.5Blended · 13 games—
Tima Pouye14.24.71.62.50.003.22026-only—

Atlanta Dream (ATL)

Rhyne Howard31.816.13.13.32.803.3Blended · 12 games—
Allisha Gray31.218.93.51.61.474.9Blended · 13 games—
Angel Reese31.116.012.03.10.135.7Blended · 13 games—
Naz Hillmon29.98.74.81.50.911.6Blended · 13 games—
Jordin Canada28.812.03.26.30.813.5Blended · 13 games—
Isobel Borlase12.84.01.31.00.470.0Blended · 13 games—
Te-Hina Paopao9.93.61.11.10.800.2Blended · 13 games—
Madina Okot8.74.73.10.30.050.8Blended · 13 games—
Amy Okonkwo8.46.72.50.00.842.52026-only—
Sika Kone4.31.51.10.20.110.0Blended · 13 games—
Indya Nivar3.11.01.00.30.070.6Blended · 12 games—
Game writeup

ATL by 27.6 in a 158.8 total

Marina Mabrey is the first player-prop checkpoint, while the defense profile points to the strongest shot-zone funnels below.

Matchup levers

  • TOR gives up right-corner 3s + rim makes. Toronto Tempo shows positive make z-scores in right-corner 3s (+2.27), rim makes (+1.90). Prioritize opposing players whose projections are already strong in those markets.
  • TOR suppresses mid-range makes. Toronto Tempo is a negative matchup for mid-range makes (-1.16). Treat overs attached to that channel as price-sensitive.
  • ATL gives up mid-range makes. Atlanta Dream shows positive make z-scores in mid-range makes (+0.64). Prioritize opposing players whose projections are already strong in those markets.
  • ATL suppresses above-break 3s. Atlanta Dream is a negative matchup for above-break 3s (-1.67). Treat overs attached to that channel as price-sensitive.

Game script

  • Total posture. The projection lands at 158.8, so this is more about player-specific funnels than a blind game-total over.
  • Side posture. ATL grades as the model side by 27.6. Team totals: TOR 65.6 and ATL 93.2.

Watch list

  • Refresh ESPN injury status before tip.
  • Compare player lines against the projection, not against season averages alone.
  • Downgrade rookies and traded players when the minutes projection is not confirmed by the starting lineup.

Caveats

  • Early-season samples are tiny; role assumptions matter as much as matchup math.
  • Defense profiles still include expansion priors and should be refit after each team has a larger 2026 sample.
  • These are directional model reads, not calibrated betting recommendations.
Inactives (5)

TOR

  • Brittney Sykes
  • Nyara Sabally
  • Kiki Rice

ATL

  • Brionna Jones
  • Aaliyah Nye
Methodology / caveats

Generated from the weekly projection payload: blended baselines, 2026 form, injuries, and zone-defense profiles. Compare every lean to live market lines before treating it as actionable.