Skip to content
NBBNothing But BetWNBA projections
MACMACWNBAWNBAPropsPROPResultsRESMLBMLB
MACWNBAPropsResultsMLB
NOTHING BUT BET
MAC scouting/WNBA model/Betting card/MLB props
Independent basketball projections and scouting notes. Outputs are directional, not calibrated betting advice.
© 2026 Nothing But Bet
← All matchups
May 27, 2026

Washington Mystics @ Seattle Storm

Proj total 155.2Spread WSH -7.2

Washington Mystics (WSH)

Sonia Citron31.715.23.62.11.183.3Blended · 6 games—
Shakira Austin27.015.16.82.20.104.5Blended · 5 games—
Kiki Iriafen26.814.49.91.70.294.0Blended · 6 games—
Georgia Amoore24.08.01.54.51.451.82026-only—
Cotie McMahon24.07.92.31.30.773.32026-only—
Cassandre Prosper12.92.11.00.70.100.42026-only—
Michaela Onyenwere9.53.30.00.00.230.7Blended · 1 game—
Lauren Betts9.14.21.80.40.001.22026-only—
Alex Wilson8.11.71.00.40.280.42026-only—
Darianna Littlepage-Buggs7.92.81.10.60.560.02026-only—
Rori Harmon7.21.30.71.20.100.62026-only—
Angela Dugalic6.82.71.80.40.280.42026-only—
Lucy Olsen5.02.50.40.90.110.72026-only—
Alicia Florez Getino——————no_baseline—

Seattle Storm (SEA)

Flau'jae Johnson26.412.65.11.61.295.02026-only—
Stefanie Dolson25.68.33.91.90.862.92026-only—
Natisha Hiedeman24.011.71.73.71.372.1Blended · 7 games—
Jade Melbourne21.06.61.53.80.501.6Blended · 7 games—
Awa Fam20.010.02.00.00.002.02026-only—
Zia Cooke13.98.82.31.21.052.92026-only—
Katie Lou Samuelson13.22.21.51.50.730.02026-only—
Jordan Horston12.72.12.20.70.100.42026-only—
Lexie Brown12.43.71.20.80.830.72026-only—
Mackenzie Holmes11.23.43.10.40.211.02026-only—
Joyner Holmes11.01.53.70.70.000.02026-only—
Taylor Thierry6.43.11.70.20.970.52026-only—
Taina Mair2.20.00.00.70.000.02026-only—
Game writeup

WSH by 7.2 in a 155.2 total

Sonia Citron is the first player-prop checkpoint, while the defense profile points to the strongest shot-zone funnels below.

Matchup levers

  • WSH gives up right-corner 3s + mid-range makes. Washington Mystics shows positive make z-scores in right-corner 3s (+1.17), mid-range makes (+0.90). Prioritize opposing players whose projections are already strong in those markets.
  • SEA gives up rim makes. Seattle Storm shows positive make z-scores in rim makes (+0.76). Prioritize opposing players whose projections are already strong in those markets.
  • SEA suppresses mid-range makes. Seattle Storm is a negative matchup for mid-range makes (-1.36). Treat overs attached to that channel as price-sensitive.

Game script

  • Total posture. The projection lands at 155.2, so this is more about player-specific funnels than a blind game-total over.
  • Side posture. WSH grades as the model side by 7.2. Team totals: WSH 81.2 and SEA 74.0.

Watch list

  • Refresh ESPN injury status before tip.
  • Compare player lines against the projection, not against season averages alone.
  • Downgrade rookies and traded players when the minutes projection is not confirmed by the starting lineup.

Caveats

  • Early-season samples are tiny; role assumptions matter as much as matchup math.
  • Defense profiles still include expansion priors and should be refit after each team has a larger 2026 sample.
  • These are directional model reads, not calibrated betting recommendations.
Inactives (2)

WSH

None reported.

SEA

  • Ezi Magbegor
  • Dominique Malonga
Methodology / caveats

Generated from the weekly projection payload: blended baselines, 2026 form, injuries, and zone-defense profiles. Compare every lean to live market lines before treating it as actionable.