Sacramento State Hornets at Bowling Green Falcons college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 10
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Bowling Green home
- Doyt L. Perry Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 6 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Sacramento State visits Bowling Green in Week 6.
Sacramento State travels to Bowling Green at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 6 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Austyn Dendy (BGSU), Hunter Najm (BGSU), and Brennan Ridley (BGSU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
6 player distributions are available, led by Austyn Dendy (BGSU).
Venue context
Bowling Green is the designated home team at Doyt L. Perry Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:05+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:05+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
Sacramento State
Bowling Green
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Sacramento State
1 League projection| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan WilliamsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 6.21.9–10.5 | — | — | — | 278–42 |
Bowling Green
5 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austyn DendyELITE · Tier 3 | RB | 15.77.1–23.8 | — | 7429–108 | — | 140–24 |
| Hunter NajmHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | QB | 9.62.1–17.9 | 14911–220 | — | — | — |
| Brennan Ridleybalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.21.9–10.6 | — | — | — | 299–46 |
| Leo KempWeekly model | FB | 5.71.3–9.9 | — | — | — | — |
| Blane CleaverHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 5.81.5–9.9 | — | — | — | — |
Sacramento State
- Rec yds
- 27
Bowling Green
- Rush yds
- 74
- Rec yds
- 14
- Pass yds
- 149
- Rec yds
- 29
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austyn DendyRB · BGSU | Rushing yards | 74.3 | 62.8 | 29.4–107.5 | Shop the line |
| Hunter NajmQB · BGSU | Passing yards | 149.3 | 171.0 | 11.3–219.8 | Shop the line |
| Brennan RidleyWR · BGSU | Receiving yards | 28.6 | 22.7 | 8.7–45.5 | Shop the line |
| Jordan WilliamsTE · SAC | Receiving yards | 26.7 | 20.7 | 7.7–41.8 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 74.3
- Median
- 62.8
- 20th–80th
- 29.4–107.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 149.3
- Median
- 171.0
- 20th–80th
- 11.3–219.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 28.6
- Median
- 22.7
- 20th–80th
- 8.7–45.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 26.7
- Median
- 20.7
- 20th–80th
- 7.7–41.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated