Northern Illinois Huskies at UNLV Rebels college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 31
- 10:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- UNLV home
- Allegiant Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 15 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Northern Illinois visits UNLV in Week 9.
Northern Illinois travels to UNLV at Allegiant Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 15 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Jalen Macon (NIU), Jai'Den Thomas (UNLV), and Rickey Taylor Jr. (NIU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
15 player distributions are available, led by Jalen Macon (NIU).
Venue context
UNLV is the designated home team at Allegiant Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Northern Illinois pass protection vs UNLV pass rush
Northern Illinois's pass protection graded 58.6 in 2025 (115th of 136); UNLV's pass rush graded 68.1 (38th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for UNLV's pass rush.
UNLV pass protection vs Northern Illinois pass rush
UNLV's pass protection graded 68.4 in 2025 (49th of 136); Northern Illinois's pass rush graded 63.0 (96th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for UNLV's pass protection.
Northern Illinois receiving corps vs UNLV coverage
Northern Illinois's receiving corps graded 58.4 in 2025 (132nd of 136); UNLV's coverage graded 62.8 (83rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for UNLV's coverage.
UNLV receiving corps vs Northern Illinois coverage
UNLV's receiving corps graded 66.9 in 2025 (32nd of 136); Northern Illinois's coverage graded 62.3 (94th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for UNLV's receiving corps.
Northern Illinois rush offense vs UNLV run defense
Northern Illinois's rush offense graded 77.7 in 2025 (47th of 136); UNLV's run defense graded 64.7 (103rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Northern Illinois's rush offense.
UNLV rush offense vs Northern Illinois run defense
UNLV's rush offense graded 82.8 in 2025 (10th of 136); Northern Illinois's run defense graded 66.5 (76th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for UNLV's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Northern Illinois
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Maconbalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 13.03.2–23.1 | — | 448–74 | — | — |
| Rickey Taylor Jr.ELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.53.1–15.0 | — | — | 3.11.0–5.1 | 4614–70 |
| Cam ThompsonELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.33.2–14.3 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.3 | 4715–67 |
| DeAree RogersVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.22.6–12.3 | — | — | — | — |
| Brady DavidsonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | QB | 8.21.1–17.3 | — | — | — | — |
| Telly Johnson Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 8.62.5–13.9 | — | 4011–66 | — | — |
| Elijah Porterbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.11.3–11.1 | — | — | — | 120–14 |
| George DimopoulosHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.91.9–11.2 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.7 | — |
UNLV
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai'Den ThomasELITE · Tier 5 | RB | 12.94.1–21.3 | — | 4914–77 | 2.60.0–4.2 | 170–26 |
| Jackson ArnoldELITE · Tier 5 | QB | 9.81.9–16.2 | — | — | — | — |
| Taeshaun LyonsELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.22.3–13.5 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.2 | 3110–48 |
| Jaylon GloverVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.01.7–11.7 | — | 357–58 | — | — |
| Taz Reddicksbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.92.4–10.9 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.1 | 3710–52 |
| Amorion WalkerVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.82.1–10.5 | — | — | — | 319–46 |
| Kayden McGeeHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.01.2–10.2 | — | — | — | — |
Northern Illinois
- Rush yds
- 44
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 46
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 47
- Rush yds
- 40
- Rec yds
- 12
- Receptions
- 2.6
UNLV
- Rush yds
- 49
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 17
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rush yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rec yds
- 31
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen MaconQB · NIU | Rushing yards | 44.0 | 33.9 | 7.9–73.9 | Shop the line |
| Jai'Den ThomasRB · UNLV | Rushing yards | 48.5 | 43.9 | 14.2–76.5 | Shop the line |
| Rickey Taylor Jr.WR · NIU | Receiving yards | 45.5 | 37.9 | 14.4–70.3 | Shop the line |
| Cam ThompsonWR · NIU | Receiving yards | 47.0 | 36.5 | 14.5–67.3 | Shop the line |
| Telly Johnson Jr.RB · NIU | Rushing yards | 40.0 | 33.1 | 11.1–65.6 | Shop the line |
| Taeshaun LyonsWR · UNLV | Receiving yards | 31.3 | 27.1 | 10.3–47.9 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 44.0
- Median
- 33.9
- 20th–80th
- 7.9–73.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 48.5
- Median
- 43.9
- 20th–80th
- 14.2–76.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 45.5
- Median
- 37.9
- 20th–80th
- 14.4–70.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 47.0
- Median
- 36.5
- 20th–80th
- 14.5–67.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 40.0
- Median
- 33.1
- 20th–80th
- 11.1–65.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 31.3
- Median
- 27.1
- 20th–80th
- 10.3–47.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated