South Alabama Jaguars at Southern Miss Golden Eagles college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 21
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Southern Miss home
- M. M. Roberts Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 14 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
South Alabama visits Southern Miss in Week 12.
South Alabama travels to Southern Miss at M. M. Roberts Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 14 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Bishop Davenport (USA), Grant Page (USM), and Keenan Phillips (USA).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
14 player distributions are available, led by Bishop Davenport (USA).
Venue context
Southern Miss is the designated home team at M. M. Roberts Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:27+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:27+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
South Alabama pass protection vs Southern Miss pass rush
South Alabama's pass protection graded 64.8 in 2025 (80th of 136); Southern Miss's pass rush graded 70.2 (14th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Southern Miss's pass rush. Southern Miss's pass rush returns only 2.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Southern Miss pass protection vs South Alabama pass rush
Southern Miss's pass protection graded 67.8 in 2025 (53rd of 136); South Alabama's pass rush graded 61.3 (120th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Southern Miss's pass protection. Southern Miss's pass protection returns only 24.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
South Alabama receiving corps vs Southern Miss coverage
South Alabama's receiving corps graded 64.2 in 2025 (76th of 136); Southern Miss's coverage graded 71.9 (8th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Southern Miss's coverage. Southern Miss's coverage returns only 7.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Southern Miss receiving corps vs South Alabama coverage
Southern Miss's receiving corps graded 65.4 in 2025 (58th of 136); South Alabama's coverage graded 64.3 (72nd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
South Alabama rush offense vs Southern Miss run defense
South Alabama's rush offense graded 85.3 in 2025 (1st of 136); Southern Miss's run defense graded 71.7 (19th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for South Alabama's rush offense.
Southern Miss rush offense vs South Alabama run defense
Southern Miss's rush offense graded 72.1 in 2025 (103rd of 136); South Alabama's run defense graded 61.2 (131st). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Southern Miss's rush offense. Southern Miss's rush offense returns only 16.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
South Alabama
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop DavenportELITE · Tier 5 | QB | 16.14.7–25.9 | 15994–237 | 272–57 | — | — |
| Keenan Phillipsbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 9.93.5–17.1 | — | 4512–69 | — | — |
| Anthony EagerVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.22.8–14.3 | — | — | 3.31.1–5.3 | 4312–62 |
| Brendan Jenkinsbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.02.2–11.4 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 329–49 |
| PJ MartinHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 8.01.7–13.5 | — | 349–57 | — | — |
| Micah WoodsELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.9–10.5 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.7 | 287–40 |
| Rod GibbsHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 6.01.7–10.0 | — | — | — | — |
Southern Miss
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant PageHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 10.63.3–16.3 | — | — | 3.81.1–6.1 | 4213–62 |
| Landry LyddyVOLATILE · Tier 6 | QB | 10.12.1–19.9 | 17656–235 | — | — | — |
| Ethan HamptonELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 8.81.5–15.2 | — | — | — | — |
| Davis Daltonbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.42.5–11.6 | — | — | — | 339–49 |
| Robert BriggsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 7.01.8–11.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Kaden Saundersbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 5.91.8–10.0 | — | — | — | — |
| Brandon HoodELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.51.5–10.9 | — | — | — | — |
South Alabama
- Pass yds
- 159
- Rush yds
- 27
- Rush yds
- 45
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 43
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rush yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 28
Southern Miss
- Receptions
- 3.8
- Rec yds
- 42
- Pass yds
- 176
- Rec yds
- 33
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop DavenportQB · USA | Passing yards | 159.2 | 172.4 | 93.6–236.7 | Shop the line |
| Grant PageWR · USM | Receiving yards | 42.2 | 34.1 | 13.3–62.1 | Shop the line |
| Keenan PhillipsRB · USA | Rushing yards | 45.4 | 46.7 | 11.9–69.0 | Shop the line |
| Landry LyddyQB · USM | Passing yards | 175.5 | 193.2 | 56.3–234.5 | Shop the line |
| Anthony EagerWR · USA | Receiving yards | 42.8 | 30.1 | 12.3–62.1 | Shop the line |
| Davis DaltonWR · USM | Receiving yards | 32.6 | 23.6 | 8.9–49.3 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 159.2
- Median
- 172.4
- 20th–80th
- 93.6–236.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 42.2
- Median
- 34.1
- 20th–80th
- 13.3–62.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 45.4
- Median
- 46.7
- 20th–80th
- 11.9–69.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 175.5
- Median
- 193.2
- 20th–80th
- 56.3–234.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 42.8
- Median
- 30.1
- 20th–80th
- 12.3–62.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 32.6
- Median
- 23.6
- 20th–80th
- 8.9–49.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated