Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Troy Trojans college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Tue, Oct 6
- 8:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- Troy home
- Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 10 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Southern Miss visits Troy in Week 6.
Southern Miss travels to Troy at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 10 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Goose Crowder (TROY), Grant Page (USM), and Landry Lyddy (USM).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
10 player distributions are available, led by Goose Crowder (TROY).
Venue context
Troy is the designated home team at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL).
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:05+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:05+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Southern Miss pass protection vs Troy pass rush
Southern Miss's pass protection graded 67.8 in 2025 (53rd of 136); Troy's pass rush graded 64.0 (83rd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Southern Miss's pass protection. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Troy pass protection vs Southern Miss pass rush
Troy's pass protection graded 57.0 in 2025 (121st of 136); Southern Miss's pass rush graded 70.2 (14th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Southern Miss's pass rush. Southern Miss's pass rush returns only 2.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Southern Miss receiving corps vs Troy coverage
Southern Miss's receiving corps graded 65.4 in 2025 (58th of 136); Troy's coverage graded 62.3 (91st). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Southern Miss's receiving corps. Southern Miss's receiving corps returns only 7.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Troy receiving corps vs Southern Miss coverage
Troy's receiving corps graded 63.3 in 2025 (86th of 136); Southern Miss's coverage graded 71.9 (8th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Southern Miss's coverage. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Southern Miss rush offense vs Troy run defense
Southern Miss's rush offense graded 72.1 in 2025 (103rd of 136); Troy's run defense graded 66.0 (79th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Troy's run defense.
Troy rush offense vs Southern Miss run defense
Troy's rush offense graded 68.2 in 2025 (130th of 136); Southern Miss's run defense graded 71.7 (19th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Southern Miss's run defense. Southern Miss's run defense returns only 5.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Southern Miss
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant PageVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 10.63.3–16.3 | — | — | 3.81.1–6.1 | 4213–62 |
| Landry Lyddybalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 10.12.1–19.9 | 17656–235 | — | — | — |
| Ethan HamptonELITE · Tier 5 | QB | 8.81.5–15.2 | — | — | — | — |
| Davis Daltonbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.42.5–11.6 | — | — | — | 339–49 |
| Robert BriggsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 7.01.8–11.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Kaden Saundersbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 5.91.8–10.0 | — | — | — | — |
| Brandon HoodELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.51.5–10.9 | — | — | — | — |
Troy
3 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goose CrowderVOLATILE · Tier 3 | QB | 14.74.8–24.2 | 184115–269 | — | — | — |
| Mojo DortchVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.21.7–10.2 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.7 | — |
| Jordan LovettSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 6.51.2–11.0 | — | — | — | 130–17 |
Southern Miss
- Receptions
- 3.8
- Rec yds
- 42
- Pass yds
- 176
- Rec yds
- 33
Troy
- Pass yds
- 184
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 13
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goose CrowderQB · TROY | Passing yards | 184.3 | 208.3 | 114.9–268.8 | Shop the line |
| Grant PageWR · USM | Receiving yards | 42.2 | 34.1 | 13.3–62.1 | Shop the line |
| Landry LyddyQB · USM | Passing yards | 175.5 | 193.2 | 56.3–234.5 | Shop the line |
| Davis DaltonWR · USM | Receiving yards | 32.6 | 23.6 | 8.9–49.3 | Shop the line |
| Mojo DortchWR · TROY | Receptions | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.0–3.7 | Shop the line |
| Jordan LovettRB · TROY | Receiving yards | 13.3 | 3.9 | 0.0–17.4 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 184.3
- Median
- 208.3
- 20th–80th
- 114.9–268.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 42.2
- Median
- 34.1
- 20th–80th
- 13.3–62.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 175.5
- Median
- 193.2
- 20th–80th
- 56.3–234.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 32.6
- Median
- 23.6
- 20th–80th
- 8.9–49.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receptions
- Projection
- 2.4
- Median
- 1.4
- 20th–80th
- 1.0–3.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 13.3
- Median
- 3.9
- 20th–80th
- 0.0–17.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated