Missouri State Bears at Delaware Blue Hens college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Tue, Oct 20
- 7:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- Delaware home
- Delaware Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 22 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Missouri State visits Delaware in Week 8.
Missouri State travels to Delaware at Delaware Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 22 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Nick Minicucci (DEL), Skyler Locklear (MOST), and Jmariyae Robinson (MOST).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
22 player distributions are available, led by Nick Minicucci (DEL).
Venue context
Delaware is the designated home team at Delaware Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:14+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:14+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Missouri State pass protection vs Delaware pass rush
Missouri State's pass protection graded 69.3 in 2025 (45th of 136); Delaware's pass rush graded 62.7 (100th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Missouri State's pass protection. Missouri State's pass protection returns only 16.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Delaware pass protection vs Missouri State pass rush
Delaware's pass protection graded 70.6 in 2025 (31st of 136); Missouri State's pass rush graded 65.8 (64th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Delaware's pass protection.
Missouri State receiving corps vs Delaware coverage
Missouri State's receiving corps graded 66.2 in 2025 (40th of 136); Delaware's coverage graded 65.5 (55th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Missouri State's receiving corps.
Delaware receiving corps vs Missouri State coverage
Delaware's receiving corps graded 64.2 in 2025 (75th of 136); Missouri State's coverage graded 63.6 (74th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Missouri State rush offense vs Delaware run defense
Missouri State's rush offense graded 76.5 in 2025 (57th of 136); Delaware's run defense graded 67.8 (57th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Delaware rush offense vs Missouri State run defense
Delaware's rush offense graded 70.8 in 2025 (113th of 136); Missouri State's run defense graded 62.0 (125th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Missouri State
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyler LocklearELITE · Tier 4 | QB | 19.39.0–28.7 | 203134–268 | 397–65 | — | — |
| Jmariyae RobinsonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 13.64.3–21.6 | — | — | 4.41.0–6.5 | 5818–76 |
| Jeron Askrenbalanced · Tier 5 | TE | 9.23.1–14.6 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.2 | 3412–51 |
| Ramone Green Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | RB | 7.52.1–12.2 | — | 295–52 | — | 150–25 |
| Isaiah MyersELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.72.3–12.9 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.2 | 3611–53 |
| Makai Copebalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.12.2–11.1 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.2 | 3610–53 |
| Mekhi MillerHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.91.8–11.1 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 318–44 |
Delaware
15 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick MinicucciSAFE FLOOR · Tier 4 | QB | 19.79.5–28.7 | 230150–284 | — | — | — |
| Sean Wilsonbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 13.04.3–20.8 | — | — | 4.31.0–6.6 | 5519–83 |
| Viron Ellison Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 12.34.4–18.7 | — | 5314–74 | 1.90.0–3.5 | 160–21 |
| Jo SilverSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 9.23.4–15.3 | — | 417–63 | 1.90.9–3.3 | — |
| Braden StreeterHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 9.11.1–17.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Jake Thawbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.92.6–14.3 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.4 | 3210–50 |
| Ja'Carree KellyVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.82.3–12.4 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.6 | 339–48 |
| Max Pattersonbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.62.3–11.6 | — | — | 2.51.0–4.0 | 319–46 |
| Elijah Sessomsbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 7.02.2–11.4 | — | — | — | — |
| Donovan Lewisbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.52.0–10.6 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 298–42 |
| Connor WitthoftHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 6.61.7–10.8 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.6 | — |
| Greg Spillerbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.51.2–11.3 | — | 304–51 | — | — |
| Nick Laboybalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.11.7–10.0 | — | — | — | 277–34 |
| Scott MooreHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 6.01.6–10.1 | — | — | — | — |
| Jared PorterVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.01.4–10.4 | — | — | — | — |
Missouri State
- Pass yds
- 203
- Rush yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 4.4
- Rec yds
- 58
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 34
- Rush yds
- 29
- Rec yds
- 15
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 31
Delaware
- Pass yds
- 230
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Rec yds
- 55
- Rush yds
- 53
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Rec yds
- 16
- Rush yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 32
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 33
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 31
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 29
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rush yds
- 30
- Rec yds
- 27
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick MinicucciQB · DEL | Passing yards | 230.1 | 229.7 | 150.2–284.0 | Shop the line |
| Skyler LocklearQB · MOST | Passing yards | 202.8 | 209.7 | 134.4–268.0 | Shop the line |
| Jmariyae RobinsonWR · MOST | Receiving yards | 58.3 | 40.6 | 17.8–76.1 | Shop the line |
| Sean WilsonWR · DEL | Receiving yards | 54.6 | 44.4 | 19.2–82.6 | Shop the line |
| Viron Ellison Jr.RB · DEL | Rushing yards | 53.2 | 40.3 | 13.6–73.7 | Shop the line |
| Jeron AskrenTE · MOST | Receiving yards | 34.4 | 31.8 | 11.6–51.2 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 230.1
- Median
- 229.7
- 20th–80th
- 150.2–284.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 202.8
- Median
- 209.7
- 20th–80th
- 134.4–268.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 58.3
- Median
- 40.6
- 20th–80th
- 17.8–76.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 54.6
- Median
- 44.4
- 20th–80th
- 19.2–82.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 53.2
- Median
- 40.3
- 20th–80th
- 13.6–73.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 34.4
- Median
- 31.8
- 20th–80th
- 11.6–51.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated