Georgia Southern Eagles at Troy Trojans college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 21
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Troy home
- Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 15 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Georgia Southern visits Troy in Week 12.
Georgia Southern travels to Troy at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 15 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Goose Crowder (TROY), Josh Dallas (GASO), and Max Johnson (GASO).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
15 player distributions are available, led by Goose Crowder (TROY).
Venue context
Troy is the designated home team at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL).
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:27+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:27+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Georgia Southern pass protection vs Troy pass rush
Georgia Southern's pass protection graded 71.3 in 2025 (26th of 136); Troy's pass rush graded 64.0 (83rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Georgia Southern's pass protection. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Troy pass protection vs Georgia Southern pass rush
Troy's pass protection graded 57.0 in 2025 (121st of 136); Georgia Southern's pass rush graded 60.1 (131st). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Georgia Southern receiving corps vs Troy coverage
Georgia Southern's receiving corps graded 64.1 in 2025 (77th of 136); Troy's coverage graded 62.3 (91st). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Troy receiving corps vs Georgia Southern coverage
Troy's receiving corps graded 63.3 in 2025 (86th of 136); Georgia Southern's coverage graded 62.7 (84th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Georgia Southern rush offense vs Troy run defense
Georgia Southern's rush offense graded 75.5 in 2025 (66th of 136); Troy's run defense graded 66.0 (79th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Troy rush offense vs Georgia Southern run defense
Troy's rush offense graded 68.2 in 2025 (130th of 136); Georgia Southern's run defense graded 58.0 (136th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Georgia Southern
12 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dallasbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 9.93.6–16.2 | — | — | 3.51.1–5.4 | 4514–66 |
| Max JohnsonELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 9.41.9–19.3 | 12736–225 | — | — | — |
| Taeo Toddbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.72.6–13.6 | — | 378–60 | 1.90.8–3.3 | 140–22 |
| River HelmsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 7.62.4–12.1 | — | — | — | — |
| Bryce Bakerbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 7.62.0–11.8 | — | — | — | — |
| Ashton Hollinsbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.02.2–11.3 | — | — | — | 309–43 |
| Weston Bryanbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 7.31.2–12.7 | — | — | — | — |
| David MbadingaHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 7.31.9–12.3 | — | 346–53 | — | — |
| Taylor BradshawELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.41.8–10.7 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 297–42 |
| Andre Greene Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.11.8–10.3 | — | — | — | — |
| Jamarian SamuelVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 5.61.1–9.9 | — | 265–49 | — | — |
| Kam MikellHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.21.2–10.6 | — | 305–51 | — | — |
Troy
3 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goose CrowderVOLATILE · Tier 4 | QB | 14.74.8–24.2 | 184115–269 | — | — | — |
| Mojo DortchVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.21.7–10.2 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.7 | — |
| Jordan LovettSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 6.51.2–11.0 | — | — | — | 130–17 |
Georgia Southern
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 45
- Pass yds
- 127
- Rush yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Rec yds
- 14
- Rec yds
- 30
- Rush yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 29
- Rush yds
- 26
- Rush yds
- 30
Troy
- Pass yds
- 184
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 13
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goose CrowderQB · TROY | Passing yards | 184.3 | 208.3 | 114.9–268.8 | Shop the line |
| Josh DallasWR · GASO | Receiving yards | 45.2 | 36.8 | 14.0–66.4 | Shop the line |
| Max JohnsonQB · GASO | Passing yards | 126.7 | 143.0 | 36.3–224.5 | Shop the line |
| Taeo ToddRB · GASO | Rushing yards | 37.1 | 29.9 | 8.3–60.0 | Shop the line |
| Ashton HollinsWR · GASO | Receiving yards | 30.4 | 21.8 | 8.5–43.4 | Shop the line |
| David MbadingaRB · GASO | Rushing yards | 34.0 | 26.9 | 5.8–53.2 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 184.3
- Median
- 208.3
- 20th–80th
- 114.9–268.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 45.2
- Median
- 36.8
- 20th–80th
- 14.0–66.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 126.7
- Median
- 143.0
- 20th–80th
- 36.3–224.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 37.1
- Median
- 29.9
- 20th–80th
- 8.3–60.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 30.4
- Median
- 21.8
- 20th–80th
- 8.5–43.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 34.0
- Median
- 26.9
- 20th–80th
- 5.8–53.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated