App State Mountaineers at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Fri, Oct 16
- 8:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- Coastal Carolina home
- Brooks Stadium (SC)
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 17 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
App State visits Coastal Carolina in Week 7.
App State travels to Coastal Carolina at Brooks Stadium (SC). No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 17 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Deuce Bailey (CCU), Jaquari Lewis (APP), and Clayton Coppock Jr. (CCU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
17 player distributions are available, led by Deuce Bailey (CCU).
Venue context
Coastal Carolina is the designated home team at Brooks Stadium (SC).
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:09+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:09+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
App State pass protection vs Coastal Carolina pass rush
App State's pass protection graded 59.8 in 2025 (106th of 136); Coastal Carolina's pass rush graded 69.0 (26th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Coastal Carolina's pass rush. Coastal Carolina's pass rush returns only 18.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Coastal Carolina pass protection vs App State pass rush
Coastal Carolina's pass protection graded 69.6 in 2025 (43rd of 136); App State's pass rush graded 70.7 (11th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for App State's pass rush.
App State receiving corps vs Coastal Carolina coverage
App State's receiving corps graded 63.4 in 2025 (84th of 136); Coastal Carolina's coverage graded 60.9 (106th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for App State's receiving corps. App State's receiving corps returns only 18.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Coastal Carolina receiving corps vs App State coverage
Coastal Carolina's receiving corps graded 57.0 in 2025 (135th of 136); App State's coverage graded 62.1 (95th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for App State's coverage. App State's coverage returns only 16.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
App State rush offense vs Coastal Carolina run defense
App State's rush offense graded 76.8 in 2025 (54th of 136); Coastal Carolina's run defense graded 65.6 (85th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for App State's rush offense.
Coastal Carolina rush offense vs App State run defense
Coastal Carolina's rush offense graded 70.4 in 2025 (115th of 136); App State's run defense graded 70.9 (29th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for App State's run defense. App State's run defense returns only 22.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
App State
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaquari Lewisbalanced · Tier 5 | RB | 16.46.0–23.4 | — | 6821–104 | 2.20.9–4.1 | 190–32 |
| Izayah CummingsELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 10.43.3–16.2 | — | — | 3.61.0–5.6 | 4415–64 |
| David Larkinsbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 10.23.2–15.3 | — | — | 3.21.0–4.9 | 3711–54 |
| Rashod DubinionELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.82.7–14.7 | — | 379–64 | — | — |
| Kanye Robertsbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 9.22.4–14.1 | — | 4511–67 | — | — |
| Sam MbakeELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.53.1–15.7 | — | — | 3.81.0–5.7 | 3913–56 |
| Dalton StromanVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.52.6–13.2 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.4 | 3811–57 |
| Alex SanchezSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.21.9–9.9 | — | — | — | 277–36 |
| William Fowlesbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.01.7–9.9 | — | — | — | 267–34 |
Coastal Carolina
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deuce BaileyHIGH CEILING · Tier 4 | QB | 19.06.7–28.0 | 17397–249 | 362–71 | — | — |
| Clayton Coppock Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.03.6–19.1 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.4 | 3910–57 |
| Tristian GardnerVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.43.2–14.7 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.3 | 3812–58 |
| Karmello Englishbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 9.03.1–14.2 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.8 | 3711–56 |
| Robby WashingtonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.71.9–11.9 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.1 | — |
| Dominic Knicelybalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 7.91.8–13.4 | — | — | 1.90.0–3.3 | 160–22 |
| Daelen AlexanderHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 6.91.2–11.4 | — | 326–56 | — | — |
| Zach Courtneybalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.11.7–10.0 | — | — | — | 267–34 |
App State
- Rush yds
- 68
- Receptions
- 2.2
- Rec yds
- 19
- Receptions
- 3.6
- Rec yds
- 44
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 45
- Receptions
- 3.8
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 38
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 26
Coastal Carolina
- Pass yds
- 173
- Rush yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 38
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Rec yds
- 16
- Rush yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 26
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deuce BaileyQB · CCU | Passing yards | 172.9 | 184.0 | 96.9–248.9 | Shop the line |
| Jaquari LewisRB · APP | Rushing yards | 67.5 | 59.1 | 20.7–104.1 | Shop the line |
| Clayton Coppock Jr.WR · CCU | Receiving yards | 39.0 | 28.8 | 10.3–56.7 | Shop the line |
| Tristian GardnerWR · CCU | Receiving yards | 37.5 | 29.2 | 12.4–57.7 | Shop the line |
| Izayah CummingsTE · APP | Receiving yards | 44.0 | 35.3 | 15.2–64.1 | Shop the line |
| David LarkinsTE · APP | Receiving yards | 36.5 | 29.0 | 11.1–53.6 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 172.9
- Median
- 184.0
- 20th–80th
- 96.9–248.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 67.5
- Median
- 59.1
- 20th–80th
- 20.7–104.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 39.0
- Median
- 28.8
- 20th–80th
- 10.3–56.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 37.5
- Median
- 29.2
- 20th–80th
- 12.4–57.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 44.0
- Median
- 35.3
- 20th–80th
- 15.2–64.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 36.5
- Median
- 29.0
- 20th–80th
- 11.1–53.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated