Buffalo Bulls at Florida International Panthers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 12
- 6:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- Florida International home
- Pitbull Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 10 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Buffalo visits Florida International in Week 2.
Buffalo travels to Florida International at Pitbull Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 10 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to JJ Kohl (FIU), Jasaiah Gathings (BUF), and Terrance Shelton Jr. (BUF).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
10 player distributions are available, led by JJ Kohl (FIU).
Venue context
Florida International is the designated home team at Pitbull Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:58+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:58+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Buffalo pass protection vs Florida International pass rush
Buffalo's pass protection graded 69.9 in 2025 (38th of 136); Florida International's pass rush graded 62.9 (98th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Buffalo's pass protection. Buffalo's pass protection returns only 6.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Florida International pass protection vs Buffalo pass rush
Florida International's pass protection graded 62.5 in 2025 (93rd of 136); Buffalo's pass rush graded 69.7 (20th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Buffalo's pass rush. Buffalo's pass rush returns only 14.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Buffalo receiving corps vs Florida International coverage
Buffalo's receiving corps graded 64.8 in 2025 (64th of 136); Florida International's coverage graded 70.6 (15th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Florida International's coverage.
Florida International receiving corps vs Buffalo coverage
Florida International's receiving corps graded 65.8 in 2025 (51st of 136); Buffalo's coverage graded 65.8 (49th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Buffalo rush offense vs Florida International run defense
Buffalo's rush offense graded 69.3 in 2025 (126th of 136); Florida International's run defense graded 62.5 (121st). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Florida International rush offense vs Buffalo run defense
Florida International's rush offense graded 74.4 in 2025 (80th of 136); Buffalo's run defense graded 69.8 (38th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Buffalo's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Buffalo
4 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasaiah Gathingsbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 10.63.8–15.9 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.4 | 4312–62 |
| Terrance Shelton Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | RB | 9.12.7–14.0 | — | 3812–64 | — | — |
| Chance MorrowELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.12.4–13.4 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.1 | 3010–48 |
| Patrick Clacks IIIVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.82.1–10.6 | — | — | — | — |
Florida International
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ KohlVOLATILE · Tier 3 | QB | 13.54.8–23.8 | 19282–257 | — | — | — |
| Sterling JosephHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 7.82.0–15.2 | — | 3310–57 | — | — |
| Anthony CarrieSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 8.02.0–12.3 | — | 357–56 | — | — |
| Kyle McNealELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.02.6–11.4 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.8 | 3911–57 |
| Maguire Andersonbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.22.4–11.2 | — | — | — | 349–51 |
| Eric Nelson Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.21.8–10.4 | — | — | — | 288–35 |
Buffalo
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 43
- Rush yds
- 38
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 30
Florida International
- Pass yds
- 192
- Rush yds
- 33
- Rush yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 39
- Rec yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 28
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ KohlQB · FIU | Passing yards | 191.7 | 190.9 | 81.6–257.3 | Shop the line |
| Jasaiah GathingsWR · BUF | Receiving yards | 43.3 | 32.1 | 12.1–61.6 | Shop the line |
| Terrance Shelton Jr.RB · BUF | Rushing yards | 38.0 | 31.8 | 11.8–63.7 | Shop the line |
| Sterling JosephRB · FIU | Rushing yards | 32.8 | 30.3 | 10.2–57.2 | Shop the line |
| Anthony CarrieRB · FIU | Rushing yards | 35.2 | 29.0 | 6.8–55.8 | Shop the line |
| Chance MorrowWR · BUF | Receiving yards | 30.4 | 27.0 | 10.0–48.3 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 191.7
- Median
- 190.9
- 20th–80th
- 81.6–257.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 43.3
- Median
- 32.1
- 20th–80th
- 12.1–61.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 38.0
- Median
- 31.8
- 20th–80th
- 11.8–63.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 32.8
- Median
- 30.3
- 20th–80th
- 10.2–57.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 35.2
- Median
- 29.0
- 20th–80th
- 6.8–55.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 30.4
- Median
- 27.0
- 20th–80th
- 10.0–48.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated