Memphis Tigers at Charlotte 49ers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 3
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Charlotte home
- Jerry Richardson Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 12 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Memphis visits Charlotte in Week 5.
Memphis travels to Charlotte at Jerry Richardson Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 12 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Jaden Barnes (CLT), Conner Harrell (CLT), and Dallan Hayden (MEM).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
12 player distributions are available, led by Jaden Barnes (CLT).
Venue context
Charlotte is the designated home team at Jerry Richardson Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:03+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:03+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Memphis pass protection vs Charlotte pass rush
Memphis's pass protection graded 70.4 in 2025 (33rd of 136); Charlotte's pass rush graded 60.5 (128th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Memphis's pass protection. Memphis's pass protection returns only 18.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Charlotte pass protection vs Memphis pass rush
Charlotte's pass protection graded 56.0 in 2025 (124th of 136); Memphis's pass rush graded 61.8 (116th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Memphis receiving corps vs Charlotte coverage
Memphis's receiving corps graded 66.4 in 2025 (35th of 136); Charlotte's coverage graded 57.7 (126th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Memphis's receiving corps. Memphis's receiving corps returns only 11.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Charlotte receiving corps vs Memphis coverage
Charlotte's receiving corps graded 64.6 in 2025 (66th of 136); Memphis's coverage graded 60.1 (113th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Charlotte's receiving corps. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Memphis rush offense vs Charlotte run defense
Memphis's rush offense graded 78.0 in 2025 (40th of 136); Charlotte's run defense graded 62.4 (123rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Memphis's rush offense. Memphis's rush offense returns only 0.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Charlotte rush offense vs Memphis run defense
Charlotte's rush offense graded 62.4 in 2025 (136th of 136); Memphis's run defense graded 73.8 (11th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Memphis's run defense. Memphis's run defense returns only 6.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Memphis
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallan Haydenbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 9.52.8–14.4 | — | 4212–72 | — | — |
| Jaylin CarterHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 9.32.6–14.8 | — | — | 2.10.0–3.6 | 150–24 |
| Hunter TiptonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 8.42.8–13.2 | — | — | 3.21.0–5.0 | 3913–59 |
| Brady KluseVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 7.82.4–12.1 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.2 | 339–48 |
| Tychaun ChapmanELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 8.73.0–14.1 | — | — | 3.21.0–4.6 | 4213–58 |
| Terrell Timmons Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 6.41.8–10.0 | — | — | — | 298–41 |
| Manny CoveySAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 6.51.4–10.9 | — | — | — | 160–20 |
Charlotte
5 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Barnesbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 13.33.7–19.8 | — | — | 4.21.0–6.4 | 4917–71 |
| Conner Harrellbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 9.01.2–18.4 | 14019–225 | — | — | — |
| Jariel CobbSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 6.71.8–11.6 | — | — | — | — |
| Derrick Eleybalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 6.21.5–10.1 | — | — | — | 276–34 |
| KD Hunter-GibsonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 5.91.6–9.6 | — | — | — | 267–39 |
Memphis
- Rush yds
- 42
- Receptions
- 2.1
- Rec yds
- 15
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 33
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 42
- Rec yds
- 29
- Rec yds
- 16
Charlotte
- Receptions
- 4.2
- Rec yds
- 49
- Pass yds
- 140
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 26
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden BarnesWR · CLT | Receiving yards | 48.9 | 38.5 | 17.0–71.4 | Shop the line |
| Conner HarrellQB · CLT | Passing yards | 139.6 | 147.3 | 18.8–224.5 | Shop the line |
| Dallan HaydenRB · MEM | Rushing yards | 42.0 | 39.8 | 12.2–72.3 | Shop the line |
| Jaylin CarterRB · MEM | Receiving yards | 14.5 | 10.9 | 0.0–23.9 | Shop the line |
| Hunter TiptonTE · MEM | Receiving yards | 38.9 | 30.9 | 13.1–58.7 | Shop the line |
| Brady KluseWR · MEM | Receiving yards | 32.5 | 24.1 | 8.8–48.0 | Shop the line |
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 48.9
- Median
- 38.5
- 20th–80th
- 17.0–71.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 139.6
- Median
- 147.3
- 20th–80th
- 18.8–224.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 42.0
- Median
- 39.8
- 20th–80th
- 12.2–72.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 14.5
- Median
- 10.9
- 20th–80th
- 0.0–23.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 38.9
- Median
- 30.9
- 20th–80th
- 13.1–58.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 32.5
- Median
- 24.1
- 20th–80th
- 8.8–48.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated