Sacramento State Hornets at Fresno State Bulldogs college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 12
- 10:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- Fresno State home
- Valley Children's Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 8 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Sacramento State visits Fresno State in Week 2.
Sacramento State travels to Fresno State at Valley Children's Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 8 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Josiah Freeman (FRES), Rayshon Luke (FRES), and Bryson Donelson (FRES).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
8 player distributions are available, led by Josiah Freeman (FRES).
Venue context
Fresno State is the designated home team at Valley Children's Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:58+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:58+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
Sacramento State
Fresno State
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Sacramento State
1 League projection| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan WilliamsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | TE | 6.21.9–10.5 | — | — | — | 278–42 |
Fresno State
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah FreemanELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 10.94.0–16.8 | — | — | 3.91.1–5.8 | 4615–67 |
| Rayshon Lukebalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 10.33.7–17.4 | — | 4413–63 | 2.30.0–4.0 | 160–20 |
| Bryson DonelsonELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.22.2–12.7 | — | 378–61 | — | — |
| Jahlil McClainSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 7.32.3–11.5 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.1 | 339–48 |
| Brandon RamirezHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 7.61.7–11.6 | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Malau'uluSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.11.7–10.2 | — | — | — | 277–34 |
| Jayon FarrarELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.11.8–10.5 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 297–38 |
Sacramento State
- Rec yds
- 27
Fresno State
- Receptions
- 3.9
- Rec yds
- 46
- Rush yds
- 44
- Receptions
- 2.3
- Rec yds
- 16
- Rush yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rec yds
- 27
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 29
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah FreemanWR · FRES | Receiving yards | 45.5 | 36.7 | 15.0–67.0 | Shop the line |
| Rayshon LukeRB · FRES | Rushing yards | 44.3 | 42.0 | 12.9–63.0 | Shop the line |
| Bryson DonelsonRB · FRES | Rushing yards | 36.9 | 34.6 | 8.4–61.3 | Shop the line |
| Jahlil McClainWR · FRES | Receiving yards | 33.2 | 23.3 | 8.6–48.1 | Shop the line |
| Jordan WilliamsTE · SAC | Receiving yards | 26.7 | 20.7 | 7.7–41.8 | Shop the line |
| Jordan Malau'uluWR · FRES | Receiving yards | 27.1 | 18.2 | 6.9–33.6 | Shop the line |
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 45.5
- Median
- 36.7
- 20th–80th
- 15.0–67.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 44.3
- Median
- 42.0
- 20th–80th
- 12.9–63.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 36.9
- Median
- 34.6
- 20th–80th
- 8.4–61.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 33.2
- Median
- 23.3
- 20th–80th
- 8.6–48.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 26.7
- Median
- 20.7
- 20th–80th
- 7.7–41.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 27.1
- Median
- 18.2
- 20th–80th
- 6.9–33.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated