Oregon Ducks at Illinois Fighting Illini college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 24
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Illinois home
- Gies Memorial Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 19 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Oregon visits Illinois in Week 8.
Oregon travels to Illinois at Gies Memorial Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 19 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Katin Houser (ILL), Dante Moore (ORE), and Alex Perry (ILL).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
19 player distributions are available, led by Katin Houser (ILL).
Venue context
Illinois is the designated home team at Gies Memorial Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:14+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:14+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Oregon pass protection vs Illinois pass rush
Oregon's pass protection graded 79.1 in 2025 (2nd of 136); Illinois's pass rush graded 67.8 (43rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Oregon's pass protection.
Illinois pass protection vs Oregon pass rush
Illinois's pass protection graded 64.4 in 2025 (83rd of 136); Oregon's pass rush graded 70.9 (9th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Oregon's pass rush.
Oregon receiving corps vs Illinois coverage
Oregon's receiving corps graded 68.1 in 2025 (20th of 136); Illinois's coverage graded 63.0 (80th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Oregon's receiving corps.
Illinois receiving corps vs Oregon coverage
Illinois's receiving corps graded 68.8 in 2025 (16th of 136); Oregon's coverage graded 72.0 (7th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Oregon rush offense vs Illinois run defense
Oregon's rush offense graded 83.0 in 2025 (9th of 136); Illinois's run defense graded 68.8 (45th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Oregon's rush offense.
Illinois rush offense vs Oregon run defense
Illinois's rush offense graded 73.8 in 2025 (88th of 136); Oregon's run defense graded 70.6 (30th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Oregon's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Oregon
11 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante MooreVOLATILE · Tier 5 | QB | 15.15.6–24.0 | 191129–267 | — | — | — |
| Iverson HooksELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 14.84.6–21.6 | — | — | 4.51.0–6.9 | 5820–85 |
| Dakorien MooreHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 10.43.5–17.4 | — | — | 3.71.1–5.5 | 5015–70 |
| Jordon DavisonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 10.43.1–18.5 | — | 4012–64 | — | — |
| Dylan RaiolaELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 11.42.7–19.6 | 16460–226 | — | — | — |
| Evan StewartSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 11.03.7–16.5 | — | — | 4.11.0–6.1 | 4613–63 |
| Jeremiah McClellanVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.12.8–14.1 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.6 | 4113–58 |
| Jamari JohnsonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 8.52.8–12.9 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.8 | 4013–58 |
| Simeon Pricebalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.21.9–13.1 | — | 306–51 | — | — |
| Dierre Hill Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.61.8–12.2 | — | 326–52 | 1.60.0–3.1 | 140–20 |
| Brock Thomasbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 6.60.9–12.0 | — | — | — | — |
Illinois
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katin Houserbalanced · Tier 4 | QB | 20.58.9–28.9 | 211142–276 | 29-0–49 | — | — |
| Alex PerryELITE · Tier 3 | WR | 15.15.7–22.5 | — | — | 4.31.0–6.1 | 6325–84 |
| Jayshon PlattELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.83.7–19.8 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.1 | 4914–74 |
| Hudson ClementSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 9.73.7–15.4 | — | — | 3.41.0–5.1 | 5015–68 |
| Ca'Lil Valentinebalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 10.02.6–14.5 | — | 4512–71 | — | — |
| Kaden Feaginbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 9.63.1–14.9 | — | 346–57 | — | 150–20 |
| Collin DixonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 8.82.8–13.9 | — | — | 3.11.0–4.3 | 4112–59 |
| Aidan Laugherybalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.22.3–12.7 | — | 357–56 | — | — |
Oregon
- Pass yds
- 191
- Receptions
- 4.5
- Rec yds
- 58
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 50
- Rush yds
- 40
- Pass yds
- 164
- Receptions
- 4.1
- Rec yds
- 46
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 40
- Rush yds
- 30
- Rush yds
- 32
- Receptions
- 1.6
- Rec yds
- 14
Illinois
- Pass yds
- 211
- Rush yds
- 29
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Rec yds
- 63
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 49
- Receptions
- 3.4
- Rec yds
- 50
- Rush yds
- 45
- Rush yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 15
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 41
- Rush yds
- 35
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katin HouserQB · ILL | Passing yards | 211.1 | 210.0 | 142.2–275.6 | Shop the line |
| Dante MooreQB · ORE | Passing yards | 190.9 | 213.3 | 128.6–266.8 | Shop the line |
| Alex PerryWR · ILL | Receiving yards | 62.5 | 48.9 | 25.3–83.6 | Shop the line |
| Iverson HooksWR · ORE | Receiving yards | 57.6 | 45.2 | 19.7–85.4 | Shop the line |
| Jayshon PlattWR · ILL | Receiving yards | 48.8 | 34.7 | 14.0–73.6 | Shop the line |
| Dakorien MooreWR · ORE | Receiving yards | 50.0 | 36.2 | 14.5–70.1 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 211.1
- Median
- 210.0
- 20th–80th
- 142.2–275.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 190.9
- Median
- 213.3
- 20th–80th
- 128.6–266.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 62.5
- Median
- 48.9
- 20th–80th
- 25.3–83.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 57.6
- Median
- 45.2
- 20th–80th
- 19.7–85.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 48.8
- Median
- 34.7
- 20th–80th
- 14.0–73.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 50.0
- Median
- 36.2
- 20th–80th
- 14.5–70.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated