Oregon Ducks at USC Trojans college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 26
- Time TBA
- Venue
- USC home
- Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 17 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Oregon visits USC in Week 4.
Oregon travels to USC at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 17 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Jayden Maiava (USC), Dante Moore (ORE), and King Miller (USC).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
17 player distributions are available, led by Jayden Maiava (USC).
Venue context
USC is the designated home team at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:02+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:02+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Oregon pass protection vs USC pass rush
Oregon's pass protection graded 79.1 in 2025 (2nd of 136); USC's pass rush graded 65.9 (60th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Oregon's pass protection.
USC pass protection vs Oregon pass rush
USC's pass protection graded 58.7 in 2025 (114th of 136); Oregon's pass rush graded 70.9 (9th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Oregon's pass rush.
Oregon receiving corps vs USC coverage
Oregon's receiving corps graded 68.1 in 2025 (20th of 136); USC's coverage graded 69.6 (20th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
USC receiving corps vs Oregon coverage
USC's receiving corps graded 72.8 in 2025 (4th of 136); Oregon's coverage graded 72.0 (7th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Oregon rush offense vs USC run defense
Oregon's rush offense graded 83.0 in 2025 (9th of 136); USC's run defense graded 63.0 (117th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Oregon's rush offense.
USC rush offense vs Oregon run defense
USC's rush offense graded 79.5 in 2025 (26th of 136); Oregon's run defense graded 70.6 (30th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Oregon
11 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante MooreVOLATILE · Tier 4 | QB | 15.15.6–24.0 | 191129–267 | — | — | — |
| Iverson HooksELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 14.84.6–21.6 | — | — | 4.51.0–6.9 | 5820–85 |
| Dakorien MooreHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 10.43.5–17.4 | — | — | 3.71.1–5.5 | 5015–70 |
| Jordon DavisonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | RB | 10.43.1–18.5 | — | 4012–64 | — | — |
| Dylan RaiolaSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 11.42.7–19.6 | 16460–226 | — | — | — |
| Evan StewartSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 11.03.7–16.5 | — | — | 4.11.0–6.1 | 4613–63 |
| Jeremiah McClellanbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 9.12.8–14.1 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.6 | 4113–58 |
| Jamari JohnsonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 8.52.8–12.9 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.8 | 4013–58 |
| Simeon PriceVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.21.9–13.1 | — | 306–51 | — | — |
| Dierre Hill Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.61.8–12.2 | — | 326–52 | 1.60.0–3.1 | 140–20 |
| Brock Thomasbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 6.60.9–12.0 | — | — | — | — |
USC
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden MaiavaSAFE FLOOR · Tier 4 | QB | 17.36.8–25.8 | 225155–269 | — | — | — |
| King Millerbalanced · Tier 5 | RB | 14.65.7–24.5 | — | 6723–101 | 2.00.9–3.4 | 160–23 |
| Waymond Jordanbalanced · Tier 5 | RB | 14.04.5–22.3 | — | 6518–98 | — | — |
| Tanook HinesHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 9.43.0–14.8 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.4 | 4214–61 |
| Zacharyus WilliamsVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 7.92.5–13.0 | — | — | 3.11.1–4.7 | 3910–57 |
| Terrell AndersonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 8.92.9–13.8 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.6 | 3711–59 |
Oregon
- Pass yds
- 191
- Receptions
- 4.5
- Rec yds
- 58
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 50
- Rush yds
- 40
- Pass yds
- 164
- Receptions
- 4.1
- Rec yds
- 46
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 40
- Rush yds
- 30
- Rush yds
- 32
- Receptions
- 1.6
- Rec yds
- 14
USC
- Pass yds
- 225
- Rush yds
- 67
- Receptions
- 2.0
- Rec yds
- 16
- Rush yds
- 65
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 42
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 37
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden MaiavaQB · USC | Passing yards | 225.3 | 211.9 | 154.6–269.1 | Shop the line |
| Dante MooreQB · ORE | Passing yards | 190.9 | 213.3 | 128.6–266.8 | Shop the line |
| King MillerRB · USC | Rushing yards | 67.1 | 62.1 | 22.9–100.9 | Shop the line |
| Iverson HooksWR · ORE | Receiving yards | 57.6 | 45.2 | 19.7–85.4 | Shop the line |
| Waymond JordanRB · USC | Rushing yards | 65.1 | 54.8 | 18.1–97.9 | Shop the line |
| Dakorien MooreWR · ORE | Receiving yards | 50.0 | 36.2 | 14.5–70.1 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 225.3
- Median
- 211.9
- 20th–80th
- 154.6–269.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 190.9
- Median
- 213.3
- 20th–80th
- 128.6–266.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 67.1
- Median
- 62.1
- 20th–80th
- 22.9–100.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 57.6
- Median
- 45.2
- 20th–80th
- 19.7–85.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 65.1
- Median
- 54.8
- 20th–80th
- 18.1–97.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 50.0
- Median
- 36.2
- 20th–80th
- 14.5–70.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated