USC Trojans at Rutgers Scarlet Knights college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 19
- 3:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- Rutgers home
- SHI Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 12 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
USC visits Rutgers in Week 3.
USC travels to Rutgers at SHI Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 12 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Antwan Raymond (RUTG), Jayden Maiava (USC), and King Miller (USC).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
12 player distributions are available, led by Antwan Raymond (RUTG).
Venue context
Rutgers is the designated home team at SHI Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
USC pass protection vs Rutgers pass rush
USC's pass protection graded 58.7 in 2025 (114th of 136); Rutgers's pass rush graded 62.4 (104th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Rutgers pass protection vs USC pass rush
Rutgers's pass protection graded 65.5 in 2025 (73rd of 136); USC's pass rush graded 65.9 (60th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
USC receiving corps vs Rutgers coverage
USC's receiving corps graded 72.8 in 2025 (4th of 136); Rutgers's coverage graded 58.7 (119th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for USC's receiving corps.
Rutgers receiving corps vs USC coverage
Rutgers's receiving corps graded 69.3 in 2025 (10th of 136); USC's coverage graded 69.6 (20th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
USC rush offense vs Rutgers run defense
USC's rush offense graded 79.5 in 2025 (26th of 136); Rutgers's run defense graded 58.8 (135th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for USC's rush offense.
Rutgers rush offense vs USC run defense
Rutgers's rush offense graded 81.0 in 2025 (15th of 136); USC's run defense graded 63.0 (117th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Rutgers's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
USC
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden MaiavaSAFE FLOOR · Tier 4 | QB | 17.56.8–25.8 | 225155–269 | — | — | — |
| King MillerVOLATILE · Tier 5 | RB | 14.65.7–24.2 | — | 6723–101 | 2.00.9–3.4 | 160–23 |
| Waymond Jordanbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 14.24.5–21.8 | — | 6518–98 | — | — |
| Tanook HinesHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 9.43.0–14.8 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.4 | 4214–61 |
| Zacharyus WilliamsVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.92.5–13.0 | — | — | 3.11.1–4.7 | 3910–57 |
| Terrell AndersonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 8.92.9–13.8 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.6 | 3711–59 |
Rutgers
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwan RaymondELITE · Tier 2 | RB | 17.97.2–25.6 | — | 9335–120 | — | 140–19 |
| Clay TheveninELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 13.34.1–22.9 | — | 4512–70 | 2.90.9–5.2 | 290–46 |
| KJ DuffELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 13.94.1–21.1 | — | — | 4.31.0–6.3 | 5819–83 |
| Dylan LonerganVOLATILE · Tier 5 | QB | 9.02.0–16.9 | 14246–220 | — | — | — |
| Kameron Anthonybalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.11.8–9.7 | — | — | — | 278–40 |
| Ben BlackELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.51.9–10.7 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 318–45 |
USC
- Pass yds
- 225
- Rush yds
- 67
- Receptions
- 2.0
- Rec yds
- 16
- Rush yds
- 65
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 42
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 37
Rutgers
- Rush yds
- 93
- Rec yds
- 14
- Rush yds
- 45
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 29
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Rec yds
- 58
- Pass yds
- 142
- Rec yds
- 27
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 31
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwan RaymondRB · RUTG | Rushing yards | 92.8 | 78.9 | 35.0–120.4 | Shop the line |
| Jayden MaiavaQB · USC | Passing yards | 225.3 | 211.9 | 154.6–269.1 | Shop the line |
| King MillerRB · USC | Rushing yards | 67.0 | 62.1 | 22.9–100.9 | Shop the line |
| Waymond JordanRB · USC | Rushing yards | 65.0 | 54.8 | 18.1–97.9 | Shop the line |
| Clay TheveninRB · RUTG | Rushing yards | 45.2 | 42.8 | 11.7–70.3 | Shop the line |
| KJ DuffWR · RUTG | Receiving yards | 58.1 | 48.5 | 19.1–83.4 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 92.8
- Median
- 78.9
- 20th–80th
- 35.0–120.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 225.3
- Median
- 211.9
- 20th–80th
- 154.6–269.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 67.0
- Median
- 62.1
- 20th–80th
- 22.9–100.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 65.0
- Median
- 54.8
- 20th–80th
- 18.1–97.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 45.2
- Median
- 42.8
- 20th–80th
- 11.7–70.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 58.1
- Median
- 48.5
- 20th–80th
- 19.1–83.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated