Houston Cougars at West Virginia Mountaineers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 21
- Time TBA
- Venue
- West Virginia home
- Milan Puskar Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 19 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Houston visits West Virginia in Week 12.
Houston travels to West Virginia at Milan Puskar Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 19 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Conner Weigman (HOU), Cam Cook (WVU), and Scotty Fox Jr. (WVU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
19 player distributions are available, led by Conner Weigman (HOU).
Venue context
West Virginia is the designated home team at Milan Puskar Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:27+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:27+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Houston pass protection vs West Virginia pass rush
Houston's pass protection graded 55.9 in 2025 (125th of 136); West Virginia's pass rush graded 62.5 (101st). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for West Virginia's pass rush. West Virginia's pass rush returns only 14.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
West Virginia pass protection vs Houston pass rush
West Virginia's pass protection graded 66.8 in 2025 (63rd of 136); Houston's pass rush graded 61.8 (114th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for West Virginia's pass protection.
Houston receiving corps vs West Virginia coverage
Houston's receiving corps graded 68.4 in 2025 (19th of 136); West Virginia's coverage graded 58.8 (118th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Houston's receiving corps.
West Virginia receiving corps vs Houston coverage
West Virginia's receiving corps graded 60.6 in 2025 (118th of 136); Houston's coverage graded 69.6 (23rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Houston's coverage.
Houston rush offense vs West Virginia run defense
Houston's rush offense graded 75.8 in 2025 (62nd of 136); West Virginia's run defense graded 67.8 (58th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
West Virginia rush offense vs Houston run defense
West Virginia's rush offense graded 65.1 in 2025 (134th of 136); Houston's run defense graded 71.0 (28th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Houston's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Houston
10 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner WeigmanELITE · Tier 1 | QB | 24.810.7–31.2 | 192132–245 | 7121–99 | — | — |
| Amare ThomasELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 14.75.1–22.6 | — | — | 4.81.0–6.8 | 6027–88 |
| Trent Walkerbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 12.14.2–18.9 | — | — | 4.31.0–6.5 | 5317–78 |
| Patrick OvermyerELITE · Tier 3 | TE | 10.03.7–16.7 | — | — | 3.21.1–5.0 | 4613–65 |
| Re'Shaun Sanford IISAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 9.12.5–14.5 | — | 4214–66 | 1.70.0–3.3 | 160–26 |
| DJ ButlerVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.12.3–12.3 | — | 3710–59 | — | — |
| Harvey Broussard IIISAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 8.12.8–12.4 | — | — | — | 3812–59 |
| Makhi HughesELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.42.3–11.8 | — | 437–60 | — | — |
| Luke McGarySAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 7.12.3–11.0 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 319–44 |
| Koby YoungHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.8–10.7 | — | — | 2.51.0–4.0 | 297–39 |
West Virginia
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam CookELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 16.67.5–24.6 | — | 7427–105 | 2.30.9–3.7 | 190–28 |
| Scotty Fox Jr.HIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | QB | 15.14.5–26.3 | 18787–248 | — | — | — |
| Michael Hawkins Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 5 | QB | 12.94.0–22.3 | — | — | — | — |
| DJ EppsELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.33.7–16.8 | — | — | 4.01.0–6.1 | 4616–70 |
| John Neiderbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.82.8–13.9 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.5 | 3812–57 |
| Jaden BrayELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.82.4–12.1 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.1 | 3610–54 |
| Prince StrachanSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.51.9–10.2 | — | — | — | 308–44 |
| Josh SappSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 6.51.7–10.0 | — | — | — | 287–32 |
| Ryan Wardbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 5.91.6–9.7 | — | — | — | — |
Houston
- Pass yds
- 192
- Rush yds
- 71
- Receptions
- 4.8
- Rec yds
- 60
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Rec yds
- 53
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 46
- Rush yds
- 42
- Receptions
- 1.7
- Rec yds
- 16
- Rush yds
- 37
- Rec yds
- 38
- Rush yds
- 43
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 31
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 29
West Virginia
- Rush yds
- 74
- Receptions
- 2.3
- Rec yds
- 19
- Pass yds
- 187
- Receptions
- 4.0
- Rec yds
- 46
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 38
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 36
- Rec yds
- 30
- Rec yds
- 28
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner WeigmanQB · HOU | Passing yards | 191.7 | 189.8 | 131.6–245.0 | Shop the line |
| Cam CookRB · WVU | Rushing yards | 73.9 | 62.3 | 26.9–105.1 | Shop the line |
| Scotty Fox Jr.QB · WVU | Passing yards | 187.4 | 194.0 | 87.0–248.3 | Shop the line |
| Amare ThomasWR · HOU | Receiving yards | 60.2 | 47.8 | 26.9–87.6 | Shop the line |
| Trent WalkerWR · HOU | Receiving yards | 53.4 | 49.8 | 17.2–78.0 | Shop the line |
| DJ EppsWR · WVU | Receiving yards | 46.1 | 38.7 | 16.1–69.8 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 191.7
- Median
- 189.8
- 20th–80th
- 131.6–245.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 73.9
- Median
- 62.3
- 20th–80th
- 26.9–105.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 187.4
- Median
- 194.0
- 20th–80th
- 87.0–248.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 60.2
- Median
- 47.8
- 20th–80th
- 26.9–87.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 53.4
- Median
- 49.8
- 20th–80th
- 17.2–78.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 46.1
- Median
- 38.7
- 20th–80th
- 16.1–69.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated