Iowa State Cyclones at BYU Cougars college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Fri, Oct 9
- 10:15 PM EDT
- Venue
- BYU home
- LaVell Edwards Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 15 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Iowa State visits BYU in Week 6.
Iowa State travels to BYU at LaVell Edwards Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 15 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Jaylen Raynor (ISU), LJ Martin (BYU), and Bear Bachmeier (BYU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
15 player distributions are available, led by Jaylen Raynor (ISU).
Venue context
BYU is the designated home team at LaVell Edwards Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:05+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:05+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Iowa State pass protection vs BYU pass rush
Iowa State's pass protection graded 61.8 in 2025 (97th of 136); BYU's pass rush graded 64.0 (82nd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for BYU's pass rush.
BYU pass protection vs Iowa State pass rush
BYU's pass protection graded 70.7 in 2025 (29th of 136); Iowa State's pass rush graded 60.1 (133rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for BYU's pass protection.
Iowa State receiving corps vs BYU coverage
Iowa State's receiving corps graded 64.6 in 2025 (67th of 136); BYU's coverage graded 67.7 (30th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for BYU's coverage.
BYU receiving corps vs Iowa State coverage
BYU's receiving corps graded 68.7 in 2025 (17th of 136); Iowa State's coverage graded 65.5 (54th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for BYU's receiving corps.
Iowa State rush offense vs BYU run defense
Iowa State's rush offense graded 79.1 in 2025 (29th of 136); BYU's run defense graded 67.2 (62nd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Iowa State's rush offense. Iowa State's rush offense returns only 3.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
BYU rush offense vs Iowa State run defense
BYU's rush offense graded 79.3 in 2025 (27th of 136); Iowa State's run defense graded 65.5 (86th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for BYU's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Iowa State
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen RaynorSAFE FLOOR · Tier 2 | QB | 18.79.6–29.2 | 215156–282 | 24-2–44 | — | — |
| Zane FloresSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | QB | 11.34.0–20.6 | 15444–236 | — | — | — |
| Cameron PettawayELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.22.9–16.4 | — | 4014–66 | — | — |
| Tyler Fortenberrybalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 9.23.0–15.0 | — | — | 3.21.0–5.1 | 3613–57 |
| Omari HayesSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 8.83.0–12.6 | — | — | 3.41.0–5.0 | 4412–59 |
| Evan BoydSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 7.22.0–11.0 | — | — | — | 3410–51 |
| Dominic OverbyVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.92.1–11.1 | — | — | — | 298–42 |
| Carter PabstSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.9–10.4 | — | — | — | 298–42 |
| Aiden FloraVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.01.2–10.8 | — | — | — | — |
BYU
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LJ MartinELITE · Tier 2 | RB | 20.18.6–26.6 | — | 7826–106 | 3.30.9–5.7 | 260–42 |
| Bear BachmeierSAFE FLOOR · Tier 4 | QB | 12.84.2–22.9 | 15774–232 | — | — | — |
| Treyson BourguetHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | QB | 9.72.2–18.5 | 11929–214 | — | — | — |
| Sione MoaSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 7.11.7–11.7 | — | — | 1.50.0–3.0 | — |
| Jojo Phillipsbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.01.9–11.1 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 339–47 |
| Walker LyonsHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 6.91.9–10.8 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.6 | — |
Iowa State
- Pass yds
- 215
- Rush yds
- 24
- Pass yds
- 154
- Rush yds
- 40
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 3.4
- Rec yds
- 44
- Rec yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 29
- Rec yds
- 29
BYU
- Rush yds
- 78
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 26
- Pass yds
- 157
- Pass yds
- 119
- Receptions
- 1.5
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 33
- Receptions
- 2.5
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen RaynorQB · ISU | Passing yards | 215.4 | 222.9 | 155.8–281.7 | Shop the line |
| LJ MartinRB · BYU | Rushing yards | 77.5 | 61.9 | 26.0–106.4 | Shop the line |
| Bear BachmeierQB · BYU | Passing yards | 157.0 | 204.1 | 73.5–232.0 | Shop the line |
| Zane FloresQB · ISU | Passing yards | 154.0 | 170.2 | 44.3–236.1 | Shop the line |
| Cameron PettawayRB · ISU | Rushing yards | 40.0 | 39.6 | 13.8–66.3 | Shop the line |
| Treyson BourguetQB · BYU | Passing yards | 118.9 | 157.7 | 28.9–214.1 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 215.4
- Median
- 222.9
- 20th–80th
- 155.8–281.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 77.5
- Median
- 61.9
- 20th–80th
- 26.0–106.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 157.0
- Median
- 204.1
- 20th–80th
- 73.5–232.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 154.0
- Median
- 170.2
- 20th–80th
- 44.3–236.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 40.0
- Median
- 39.6
- 20th–80th
- 13.8–66.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 118.9
- Median
- 157.7
- 20th–80th
- 28.9–214.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated