Boston College Eagles at Cincinnati Bearcats college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 5
- 3:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- Cincinnati home
- Nippert Stadium
- Captured market
- CIN -7.5
- DraftKings · Aug 11, 10:09 PM EDT
- Player model
- 16 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Cincinnati carries the early number into Nippert Stadium.
Boston College travels to Cincinnati at Nippert Stadium. The captured market lists Cincinnati as a 7.5-point favorite. That number came from DraftKings and is a dated snapshot, not a live quote.
The published player model covers 16 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to JC French IV (CIN), Evan Dickens (BC), and Jaedn Skeete (BC).
Market frame
Cincinnati is the captured favorite by 7.5; recheck the number before using it.
Player projection coverage
16 player distributions are available, led by JC French IV (CIN).
Venue context
Cincinnati is the designated home team at Nippert Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00DraftKings snapshot
As of 2026-08-12T02:09:50ZPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Boston College pass protection vs Cincinnati pass rush
Boston College's pass protection graded 67.4 in 2025 (58th of 136); Cincinnati's pass rush graded 59.6 (134th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Boston College's pass protection.
Cincinnati pass protection vs Boston College pass rush
Cincinnati's pass protection graded 66.6 in 2025 (66th of 136); Boston College's pass rush graded 60.5 (129th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Cincinnati's pass protection.
Boston College receiving corps vs Cincinnati coverage
Boston College's receiving corps graded 64.5 in 2025 (69th of 136); Cincinnati's coverage graded 66.2 (44th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Cincinnati's coverage.
Cincinnati receiving corps vs Boston College coverage
Cincinnati's receiving corps graded 66.1 in 2025 (42nd of 136); Boston College's coverage graded 61.6 (101st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Cincinnati's receiving corps. Cincinnati's receiving corps returns only 11.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Boston College rush offense vs Cincinnati run defense
Boston College's rush offense graded 72.9 in 2025 (95th of 136); Cincinnati's run defense graded 68.5 (50th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Cincinnati's run defense.
Cincinnati rush offense vs Boston College run defense
Cincinnati's rush offense graded 80.2 in 2025 (21st of 136); Boston College's run defense graded 61.3 (130th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Cincinnati's rush offense. Cincinnati's rush offense returns only 6.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Boston College
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan DickensELITE · Tier 5 | RB | 17.97.2–22.5 | — | 8038–114 | — | — |
| Jaedn SkeeteELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 9.33.5–15.4 | — | — | 3.91.0–5.8 | 4416–67 |
| Kaelan ChudzinskiELITE · Tier 5 | TE | 7.32.3–12.4 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.2 | 3410–55 |
| Dawson PoughELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 5.31.7–9.2 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.8 | 266–39 |
| Javarius GreenHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 5.51.7–9.4 | — | — | — | — |
| Landon WrightHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 5.11.4–8.8 | — | — | — | — |
| Johnathan Montague Jr.HIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 5.31.1–9.4 | — | — | — | — |
Cincinnati
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC French IVbalanced · Tier 4 | QB | 21.28.8–29.4 | 221148–294 | — | — | — |
| Cade WolfordHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 9.42.6–14.7 | — | 181–30 | — | 359–59 |
| Cole TabbVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.72.1–11.9 | — | 419–70 | — | — |
| JV GibsonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 8.62.1–12.2 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.1 | 349–53 |
| Zylan PerryHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 9.52.1–14.6 | — | 389–67 | — | — |
| Zion JohnsonHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 8.32.3–14.0 | — | 347–65 | — | — |
| Isaiah JohnsonHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 7.12.0–11.1 | — | — | — | 298–45 |
| Gi'Bran PayneHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 6.91.3–10.9 | — | 345–59 | — | — |
| Gavin Groverbalanced · Tier 5 | TE | 6.01.7–9.8 | — | — | — | 257–38 |
Boston College
- Rush yds
- 80
- Receptions
- 3.9
- Rec yds
- 44
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 26
Cincinnati
- Pass yds
- 221
- Rush yds
- 18
- Rec yds
- 35
- Rush yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 34
- Rush yds
- 38
- Rush yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 29
- Rush yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 25
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC French IVQB · CIN | Passing yards | 220.9 | 218.1 | 148.0–294.1 | Shop the line |
| Evan DickensRB · BC | Rushing yards | 79.6 | 65.9 | 37.6–114.2 | Shop the line |
| Jaedn SkeeteWR · BC | Receiving yards | 43.9 | 36.4 | 15.5–66.8 | Shop the line |
| Cade WolfordWR · CIN | Receiving yards | 34.6 | 24.6 | 9.4–58.6 | Shop the line |
| Cole TabbRB · CIN | Rushing yards | 40.7 | 34.3 | 8.5–70.3 | Shop the line |
| JV GibsonWR · CIN | Receiving yards | 34.1 | 25.7 | 9.4–52.6 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 220.9
- Median
- 218.1
- 20th–80th
- 148.0–294.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 79.6
- Median
- 65.9
- 20th–80th
- 37.6–114.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 43.9
- Median
- 36.4
- 20th–80th
- 15.5–66.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 34.6
- Median
- 24.6
- 20th–80th
- 9.4–58.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 40.7
- Median
- 34.3
- 20th–80th
- 8.5–70.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 34.1
- Median
- 25.7
- 20th–80th
- 9.4–52.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- Aug 11, 10:11 PM EDT
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated