Tennessee Volunteers at Arkansas Razorbacks college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 10
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Arkansas home
- Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 17 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Tennessee visits Arkansas in Week 6.
Tennessee travels to Arkansas at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 17 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to DeSean Bishop (TENN), Donovan Faupel (ARK), and Braylon Staley (TENN).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
17 player distributions are available, led by DeSean Bishop (TENN).
Venue context
Arkansas is the designated home team at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:05+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:05+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Tennessee pass protection vs Arkansas pass rush
Tennessee's pass protection graded 65.9 in 2025 (69th of 136); Arkansas's pass rush graded 65.6 (67th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Arkansas pass protection vs Tennessee pass rush
Arkansas's pass protection graded 65.5 in 2025 (74th of 136); Tennessee's pass rush graded 67.5 (51st). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Tennessee's pass rush.
Tennessee receiving corps vs Arkansas coverage
Tennessee's receiving corps graded 68.4 in 2025 (18th of 136); Arkansas's coverage graded 57.4 (129th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Tennessee's receiving corps.
Arkansas receiving corps vs Tennessee coverage
Arkansas's receiving corps graded 65.7 in 2025 (56th of 136); Tennessee's coverage graded 66.0 (47th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Tennessee rush offense vs Arkansas run defense
Tennessee's rush offense graded 83.1 in 2025 (8th of 136); Arkansas's run defense graded 67.4 (60th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Tennessee's rush offense.
Arkansas rush offense vs Tennessee run defense
Arkansas's rush offense graded 84.0 in 2025 (4th of 136); Tennessee's run defense graded 64.9 (98th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Arkansas's rush offense. Arkansas's rush offense returns only 20.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Tennessee
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeSean BishopSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 15.95.7–23.3 | — | 6923–101 | — | — |
| Braylon Staleybalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 11.13.7–19.6 | — | — | 4.11.0–6.0 | 5317–77 |
| Mike MatthewsELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.43.7–19.4 | — | — | 4.01.1–5.7 | 5316–79 |
| Ethan DavisELITE · Tier 4 | TE | 10.23.7–15.8 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.1 | 4414–68 |
| Javin Gordonbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.82.2–14.3 | — | 3711–64 | — | — |
| Ryan Staubbalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 7.80.9–14.0 | — | — | — | — |
| DaSaahn BrameSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 5.71.8–9.7 | — | — | 2.31.0–3.3 | 277–40 |
Arkansas
10 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan FaupelELITE · Tier 4 | WR | 15.45.1–22.8 | — | — | 5.11.0–7.5 | 6121–82 |
| KJ JacksonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | QB | 9.82.3–19.8 | 13941–226 | — | — | — |
| Sutton SmithSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 8.62.7–14.7 | — | 369–60 | 1.90.0–3.2 | — |
| Chris MarshallELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.82.9–13.9 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.8 | 4313–63 |
| Jamari HawkinsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 8.42.6–13.5 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.3 | 4113–60 |
| Jaden PlattELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 7.52.6–12.1 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 339–49 |
| Braylen RussellVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.31.6–12.0 | — | 346–56 | — | — |
| CJ Brownbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.72.0–10.5 | — | — | — | 328–45 |
| Ismael CisseELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.02.0–11.0 | — | — | — | 349–49 |
| Matt AdcockHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 6.61.6–10.9 | — | — | — | — |
Tennessee
- Rush yds
- 69
- Receptions
- 4.1
- Rec yds
- 53
- Receptions
- 4.0
- Rec yds
- 53
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 44
- Rush yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 2.3
- Rec yds
- 27
Arkansas
- Receptions
- 5.1
- Rec yds
- 61
- Pass yds
- 139
- Rush yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 43
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rush yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 34
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeSean BishopRB · TENN | Rushing yards | 68.8 | 59.7 | 22.6–100.7 | Shop the line |
| Donovan FaupelWR · ARK | Receiving yards | 60.9 | 44.5 | 21.3–81.5 | Shop the line |
| Braylon StaleyWR · TENN | Receiving yards | 52.8 | 40.3 | 16.9–77.1 | Shop the line |
| KJ JacksonQB · ARK | Passing yards | 139.1 | 157.5 | 41.4–225.7 | Shop the line |
| Mike MatthewsWR · TENN | Receiving yards | 53.1 | 38.3 | 16.0–79.1 | Shop the line |
| Ethan DavisTE · TENN | Receiving yards | 44.2 | 36.1 | 14.2–68.1 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 68.8
- Median
- 59.7
- 20th–80th
- 22.6–100.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 60.9
- Median
- 44.5
- 20th–80th
- 21.3–81.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 52.8
- Median
- 40.3
- 20th–80th
- 16.9–77.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 139.1
- Median
- 157.5
- 20th–80th
- 41.4–225.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 53.1
- Median
- 38.3
- 20th–80th
- 16.0–79.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 44.2
- Median
- 36.1
- 20th–80th
- 14.2–68.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated