Arkansas Razorbacks at Texas A&M Aggies college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 3
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Texas A&M home
- Kyle Field
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 17 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Arkansas visits Texas A&M in Week 5.
Arkansas travels to Texas A&M at Kyle Field. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 17 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Marcel Reed (TA&M), Donovan Faupel (ARK), and Rueben Owens II (TA&M).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
17 player distributions are available, led by Marcel Reed (TA&M).
Venue context
Texas A&M is the designated home team at Kyle Field.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:03+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:03+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Arkansas pass protection vs Texas A&M pass rush
Arkansas's pass protection graded 65.5 in 2025 (74th of 136); Texas A&M's pass rush graded 69.4 (21st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Texas A&M's pass rush.
Texas A&M pass protection vs Arkansas pass rush
Texas A&M's pass protection graded 71.1 in 2025 (27th of 136); Arkansas's pass rush graded 65.6 (67th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Texas A&M's pass protection.
Arkansas receiving corps vs Texas A&M coverage
Arkansas's receiving corps graded 65.7 in 2025 (56th of 136); Texas A&M's coverage graded 70.5 (17th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Texas A&M's coverage.
Texas A&M receiving corps vs Arkansas coverage
Texas A&M's receiving corps graded 65.8 in 2025 (50th of 136); Arkansas's coverage graded 57.4 (129th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Texas A&M's receiving corps.
Arkansas rush offense vs Texas A&M run defense
Arkansas's rush offense graded 84.0 in 2025 (4th of 136); Texas A&M's run defense graded 66.6 (73rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Arkansas's rush offense. Arkansas's rush offense returns only 20.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Texas A&M rush offense vs Arkansas run defense
Texas A&M's rush offense graded 75.4 in 2025 (68th of 136); Arkansas's run defense graded 67.4 (60th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Arkansas
10 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan FaupelELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 15.55.1–22.8 | — | — | 5.11.0–7.5 | 6121–82 |
| KJ Jacksonbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 9.82.3–19.8 | 13941–226 | — | — | — |
| Sutton SmithSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 8.62.7–14.7 | — | 369–60 | 1.90.0–3.2 | — |
| Chris MarshallELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 8.82.9–13.9 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.8 | 4313–63 |
| Jamari HawkinsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 8.42.6–13.5 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.3 | 4113–60 |
| Jaden PlattELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 7.52.6–12.1 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 339–49 |
| Braylen RussellVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.31.6–12.0 | — | 346–56 | — | — |
| CJ Brownbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 6.72.0–10.5 | — | — | — | 328–45 |
| Ismael CisseELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 7.02.0–11.0 | — | — | — | 349–49 |
| Matt Adcockbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.61.6–10.9 | — | — | — | — |
Texas A&M
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcel ReedSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | QB | 19.98.6–28.8 | 206134–258 | 397–64 | — | — |
| Rueben Owens IISAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 12.04.1–20.6 | — | 5515–79 | 1.90.0–3.4 | — |
| Ashton Bethel-Romanbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 9.73.1–15.4 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.3 | 4413–66 |
| Mario CraverVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 9.83.2–16.1 | — | — | 3.61.1–5.7 | 4313–64 |
| Isaiah HortonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 9.73.2–14.8 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.3 | 3911–56 |
| Houston ThomasVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 8.92.9–14.7 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.0 | 3811–54 |
| Richie AndersonELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 8.92.5–14.0 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.3 | 3713–55 |
Arkansas
- Receptions
- 5.1
- Rec yds
- 61
- Pass yds
- 139
- Rush yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 43
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rush yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 34
Texas A&M
- Pass yds
- 206
- Rush yds
- 39
- Rush yds
- 55
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 44
- Receptions
- 3.6
- Rec yds
- 43
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 38
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 37
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcel ReedQB · TA&M | Passing yards | 205.7 | 207.2 | 133.5–257.9 | Shop the line |
| Donovan FaupelWR · ARK | Receiving yards | 60.9 | 44.5 | 21.3–81.5 | Shop the line |
| Rueben Owens IIRB · TA&M | Rushing yards | 55.3 | 46.7 | 14.8–79.0 | Shop the line |
| KJ JacksonQB · ARK | Passing yards | 139.1 | 157.5 | 41.4–225.7 | Shop the line |
| Ashton Bethel-RomanWR · TA&M | Receiving yards | 44.1 | 33.8 | 12.9–65.8 | Shop the line |
| Mario CraverWR · TA&M | Receiving yards | 43.3 | 34.3 | 12.6–63.7 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 205.7
- Median
- 207.2
- 20th–80th
- 133.5–257.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 60.9
- Median
- 44.5
- 20th–80th
- 21.3–81.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 55.3
- Median
- 46.7
- 20th–80th
- 14.8–79.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 139.1
- Median
- 157.5
- 20th–80th
- 41.4–225.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 44.1
- Median
- 33.8
- 20th–80th
- 12.9–65.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 43.3
- Median
- 34.3
- 20th–80th
- 12.6–63.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated