Florida Gators at Auburn Tigers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 19
- 7:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- Auburn home
- Jordan-Hare Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 27 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Florida visits Auburn in Week 3.
Florida travels to Auburn at Jordan-Hare Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 27 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Byrum Brown (AUB), Jadan Baugh (FLA), and Tristan Ti'a (AUB).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
27 player distributions are available, led by Byrum Brown (AUB).
Venue context
Auburn is the designated home team at Jordan-Hare Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Florida pass protection vs Auburn pass rush
Florida's pass protection graded 68.2 in 2025 (50th of 136); Auburn's pass rush graded 68.4 (31st). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Auburn's pass rush.
Auburn pass protection vs Florida pass rush
Auburn's pass protection graded 64.7 in 2025 (81st of 136); Florida's pass rush graded 62.3 (106th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Auburn's pass protection. Auburn's pass protection returns only 8.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Florida receiving corps vs Auburn coverage
Florida's receiving corps graded 62.6 in 2025 (101st of 136); Auburn's coverage graded 60.3 (108th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Auburn receiving corps vs Florida coverage
Auburn's receiving corps graded 58.3 in 2025 (133rd of 136); Florida's coverage graded 62.3 (92nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Florida's coverage.
Florida rush offense vs Auburn run defense
Florida's rush offense graded 82.5 in 2025 (11th of 136); Auburn's run defense graded 71.8 (18th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Auburn rush offense vs Florida run defense
Auburn's rush offense graded 77.5 in 2025 (48th of 136); Florida's run defense graded 69.6 (39th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Florida
14 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadan BaughELITE · Tier 1 | RB | 18.27.5–25.1 | — | 8234–115 | 2.20.9–4.0 | 170–23 |
| London MontgomeryHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 13.84.2–21.5 | — | 6117–92 | — | — |
| Eric Singleton Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 10.94.2–17.9 | — | — | 4.41.1–6.7 | 5216–71 |
| Evan PryorELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.93.0–15.2 | — | 379–59 | 1.90.9–3.4 | 140–20 |
| Dallas WilsonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.22.4–14.8 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.8 | 3912–57 |
| Vernell Brown IIIELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.42.7–15.1 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.8 | 4616–67 |
| Aaron Philobalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 8.11.1–15.4 | 12018–209 | 21-1–38 | — | — |
| Micah Mays Jr.ELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.12.7–13.3 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.2 | 3911–56 |
| Luke Harpringbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 7.02.0–11.3 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.0 | 329–48 |
| Bailey StocktonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 7.02.3–11.3 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.0 | 349–48 |
| Kahleil JacksonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.91.9–10.5 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 308–45 |
| Amir JacksonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 5.91.5–9.5 | — | — | — | — |
| TJ AbramsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.71.9–10.8 | — | — | 2.51.0–4.0 | 319–41 |
| Lacota DippreELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.61.9–11.1 | — | — | — | 318–46 |
Auburn
13 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byrum BrownELITE · Tier 1 | QB | 25.510.7–30.9 | 204139–283 | 6511–92 | — | — |
| Tristan Ti'abalanced · Tier 4 | QB | 12.03.8–21.9 | 16680–259 | — | — | — |
| Keshaun SingletonELITE · Tier 3 | WR | 14.35.1–22.9 | — | — | 4.31.0–6.6 | 5926–84 |
| Nykahi DavenportHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 13.03.3–21.7 | — | 5112–84 | — | — |
| Jeremiah CobbELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 13.44.0–20.9 | — | 5816–79 | 1.90.9–3.4 | — |
| Jeremiah KogerVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.13.5–18.9 | — | — | 3.91.0–5.9 | 4816–74 |
| Chas NimrodELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 10.23.8–16.7 | — | — | 3.61.0–5.2 | 5215–79 |
| Tae MeadowsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 9.32.9–14.4 | — | 3910–64 | — | — |
| Christian Neptunebalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.82.5–13.0 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.9 | 3710–54 |
| Bryson WashingtonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.02.1–12.1 | — | 419–63 | — | — |
| Jake JohnsonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 7.52.6–11.4 | — | — | 2.71.0–3.9 | 349–49 |
| Jonathan EcholsVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.51.6–10.1 | — | — | — | — |
| Omar Mabson IIbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.01.2–10.5 | — | — | — | — |
Florida
- Rush yds
- 82
- Receptions
- 2.2
- Rec yds
- 17
- Rush yds
- 61
- Receptions
- 4.4
- Rec yds
- 52
- Rush yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Rec yds
- 14
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 46
- Pass yds
- 120
- Rush yds
- 21
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 32
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 30
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rec yds
- 31
Auburn
- Pass yds
- 204
- Rush yds
- 65
- Pass yds
- 166
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Rec yds
- 59
- Rush yds
- 51
- Rush yds
- 58
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Receptions
- 3.9
- Rec yds
- 48
- Receptions
- 3.6
- Rec yds
- 52
- Rush yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 34
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byrum BrownQB · AUB | Passing yards | 203.6 | 206.6 | 138.7–283.4 | Shop the line |
| Jadan BaughRB · FLA | Rushing yards | 82.0 | 72.7 | 33.7–114.7 | Shop the line |
| Tristan Ti'aQB · AUB | Passing yards | 166.1 | 196.0 | 80.2–258.7 | Shop the line |
| Keshaun SingletonWR · AUB | Receiving yards | 58.8 | 48.0 | 25.9–83.8 | Shop the line |
| Nykahi DavenportRB · AUB | Rushing yards | 50.8 | 46.4 | 11.9–83.9 | Shop the line |
| London MontgomeryRB · FLA | Rushing yards | 61.2 | 54.1 | 16.8–91.5 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 203.6
- Median
- 206.6
- 20th–80th
- 138.7–283.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 82.0
- Median
- 72.7
- 20th–80th
- 33.7–114.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 166.1
- Median
- 196.0
- 20th–80th
- 80.2–258.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 58.8
- Median
- 48.0
- 20th–80th
- 25.9–83.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 50.8
- Median
- 46.4
- 20th–80th
- 11.9–83.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 61.2
- Median
- 54.1
- 20th–80th
- 16.8–91.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated