Georgia Bulldogs at Arkansas Razorbacks college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 19
- 12:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- Arkansas home
- Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 18 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Georgia visits Arkansas in Week 3.
Georgia travels to Arkansas at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 18 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Gunner Stockton (UGA), Donovan Faupel (ARK), and Nate Frazier (UGA).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
18 player distributions are available, led by Gunner Stockton (UGA).
Venue context
Arkansas is the designated home team at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Georgia pass protection vs Arkansas pass rush
Georgia's pass protection graded 72.2 in 2025 (19th of 136); Arkansas's pass rush graded 65.6 (67th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Georgia's pass protection.
Arkansas pass protection vs Georgia pass rush
Arkansas's pass protection graded 65.5 in 2025 (74th of 136); Georgia's pass rush graded 61.4 (119th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Arkansas's pass protection.
Georgia receiving corps vs Arkansas coverage
Georgia's receiving corps graded 65.8 in 2025 (54th of 136); Arkansas's coverage graded 57.4 (129th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Georgia's receiving corps.
Arkansas receiving corps vs Georgia coverage
Arkansas's receiving corps graded 65.7 in 2025 (56th of 136); Georgia's coverage graded 65.6 (52nd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Georgia rush offense vs Arkansas run defense
Georgia's rush offense graded 77.9 in 2025 (44th of 136); Arkansas's run defense graded 67.4 (60th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Georgia's rush offense.
Arkansas rush offense vs Georgia run defense
Arkansas's rush offense graded 84.0 in 2025 (4th of 136); Georgia's run defense graded 75.5 (3rd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Georgia
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gunner StocktonHIGH CEILING · Tier 4 | QB | 17.86.0–27.7 | 17677–245 | 293–56 | — | — |
| Nate FrazierVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 14.45.1–21.6 | — | 6116–88 | — | — |
| Isiah CanionVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.53.0–14.7 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.6 | 3712–57 |
| Chauncey Bowensbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.01.9–13.4 | — | 328–57 | — | — |
| Bo Walkerbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.02.1–13.6 | — | 335–53 | — | — |
| Lawson LuckieELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 8.12.3–12.9 | — | — | — | 309–44 |
| Dante DowdellVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.91.6–12.5 | — | 359–61 | — | — |
| London HumphreysHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 7.52.3–12.2 | — | — | — | 369–53 |
Arkansas
10 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan FaupelELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 15.45.1–22.8 | — | — | 5.11.0–7.5 | 6121–82 |
| KJ JacksonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | QB | 9.82.3–19.8 | 13941–226 | — | — | — |
| Sutton SmithSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 8.62.7–14.7 | — | 369–60 | 1.90.0–3.2 | — |
| Chris MarshallELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.82.9–13.9 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.8 | 4313–63 |
| Jamari HawkinsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 8.42.6–13.5 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.3 | 4113–60 |
| Jaden PlattVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 7.52.6–12.1 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 339–49 |
| Braylen RussellVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.31.6–12.0 | — | 346–56 | — | — |
| CJ Brownbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.72.0–10.5 | — | — | — | 328–45 |
| Ismael CisseHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 7.02.0–11.0 | — | — | — | 349–49 |
| Matt AdcockVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.61.6–10.9 | — | — | — | — |
Georgia
- Pass yds
- 176
- Rush yds
- 29
- Rush yds
- 61
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 32
- Rush yds
- 33
- Rec yds
- 30
- Rush yds
- 35
- Rec yds
- 36
Arkansas
- Receptions
- 5.1
- Rec yds
- 61
- Pass yds
- 139
- Rush yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 43
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rush yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 34
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gunner StocktonQB · UGA | Passing yards | 175.8 | 182.2 | 76.7–245.0 | Shop the line |
| Donovan FaupelWR · ARK | Receiving yards | 60.9 | 44.5 | 21.3–81.5 | Shop the line |
| Nate FrazierRB · UGA | Rushing yards | 61.0 | 48.5 | 16.1–88.2 | Shop the line |
| KJ JacksonQB · ARK | Passing yards | 139.1 | 157.5 | 41.4–225.7 | Shop the line |
| Isiah CanionWR · UGA | Receiving yards | 37.3 | 29.1 | 11.6–57.4 | Shop the line |
| Sutton SmithRB · ARK | Rushing yards | 36.1 | 31.1 | 9.3–59.8 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 175.8
- Median
- 182.2
- 20th–80th
- 76.7–245.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 60.9
- Median
- 44.5
- 20th–80th
- 21.3–81.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 61.0
- Median
- 48.5
- 20th–80th
- 16.1–88.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 139.1
- Median
- 157.5
- 20th–80th
- 41.4–225.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 37.3
- Median
- 29.1
- 20th–80th
- 11.6–57.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 36.1
- Median
- 31.1
- 20th–80th
- 9.3–59.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated